Pittsburgh Pirates vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 07/12/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 12, at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates (38-57, 12-36 Away) lost seven straight games after being swept in back-to-back series at the hands of the Seattle Mariners and Kansas City Royals and then opened the current series against the Twins with a 2-1 defeat on Friday. Isiah Kinner-Falefa drove in the lone run for the Pirates, while Paul Skenes took the loss after allowing two runs on five hits with six strikeouts and no walks in 5.0 innings.

This season, the Pirates average 3.39 runs per game (30th in the MLB) on a .230/.301/.340 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Pirates’ staff has a 3.68 ERA (9th) and 1.20 WHIP (3rd). Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with a .224 batting average, ten home runs, and 46 RBI this season.

Mike Burrows will take the mound for the Pirates on Saturday. The 25-year-old right-hander has a 1-2 record in eight starts this year with a 3.63 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 39.2 innings.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins (46-48, 27-19 Home) lost to the Detroit Tigers and Miami Marlins on the road but responded with back-to-back victories over the Tampa Bay Rays and Chicago Cubs at home. The Twins snatched a narrow 2-1 win against the Pirates last night in Game 1 of the current series. Trevor Larnach led the offense with a two-run homer in the 4th inning, while Joe Ryan got the win after allowing one run on five hits with five strikeouts and two walks across 5.0 innings of work.

This year, the Twins average 4.16 runs per game (21st in the MLB) on a .239/.309/.394 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Twins’ staff has a 4.14 ERA (22nd) and 1.25 WHIP (13th). Byron Buxton leads the Twins with a .273 batting average, 20 home runs, and 53 RBI this season.

At the time of writing, the Twins haven’t announced their starter for this game against Pittsburgh.

Total Runs Facts

Eight of the Twins’ last nine games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Seven of the Pirates’ last eight road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Pirates’ last six road games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Twins’ last five day games at Target Field.

Matchup/League Facts

The Twins rank T26th in the league for triples this season (8).
The Twins rank T24th in the league for steals this season (48).
The Pirates rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (124).
The Pirates rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.339).

Pirates vs Twins Prediction

The teams have traded wins in the past couple of years, each recording five in the previous ten H2H encounters. Seven of the last ten H2Hs went Under, which was the case in nine of Pittsburgh’s previous ten games, while seven of Minnesota’s last ten were also Under. The Twins will likely use their bullpen in this game, but even so, the Pirates have the weakest offense in the MLB, so I am not worried they will suddenly erupt and score ten runs here. Mike Burrows, on the other hand, allowed just one run in his last three appearances and is coming from a strong month after posting a 2.73 ERA in June. Go with Under.