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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 06/23/2025 Picks
Pick details
Pittsburgh (31-48) vs Milwaukee (43-35)
June 23, 2025 at 07:40 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
The Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers meet Monday in MLB action at American Family Field. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction. This article will include a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 31-48 on the year and play the Mets, Cardinals, and Mariners next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .227 on the season, have a .303 OBP, and a .336 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 64 hits and 39 RBI, while Andrew McCutchen and Ke’Bryan Hayes have combined for 125 hits and 50 RBI.
Braxton Ashcraft gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 1-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. This will be Ashcraft’s first career game against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 43-35 on the year and play the Rockies, Mets, and Marlins next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .245 on the season, have a .321 OBP, and a .377 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Jackson Chourio leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 86 hits and 46 RBI while Sal Frelick and Brice Turang have combined for 158 hits and 60 RBI.
Chad Patrick gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 3-7 with a 3.50 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season. This will be Patrick’s first career game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
The Pirates have lost each of their last six road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
The Brewers have won each of their last four games.
The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last four games.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 night games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
The Brewers have lost seven of their last eight night games against the Pirates following a win.
The Pirates have won each of their last six Monday games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games against NL Central opponents following a win.
The Pirates have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against National League opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
Christian Yelich has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Brewers’ last six night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Jackson Chourio has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Pirates at American Family Field.
Brice Turang has recorded a Double in three of the Brewers’ last four games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Pirates’ last six night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
Ji-Hwan Bae has scored a run in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Andrew McCutchen has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances with the Pirates against NL opponents.
Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against former teams.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
The Pirates have had issues stringing together wins all year, and I’m not a fan of bullpen games regardless. So, while Ashcraft has been solid lately, he doesn’t go deep into games, and you have no idea what’s coming next. The Brewers are coming off one of their best weeks yet and Patrick isn’t winning games, he’s been strong with a 3.50 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. In 49 home innings, Patrick has a 2.94 ERA and .228 allowed batting average. I like the Brewers to stay hot. Give me the home team.