Pirates vs Marlins Prediction 8/12/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Pirates vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 12th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 58-63 this season after they lost game one by a score of 0-2 last night. Pittsburgh got a very strong pitching performance, but they failed to score for the shutout loss. The Pirates recorded four hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Simon, who went 1-2 with one walk. Skenes allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Ramirez threw 3.0 innings in relief. Prior to this series, Pittsburgh lost two out of three against the Mets and three out of four against the Brewers. 

This season, Pittsburgh has a 4.32 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 602 runs with a .256 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Brandon Lowe has led the Pirates with 25 home runs and 74 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added 17 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is TBD.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 61-59 this year after they won game one by a score of 2-0 on Tuesday night. Miami scored one run in the third inning and another in the fifth in the low scoring win. The Marlins recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Ruiz, who went 1-2 with one home run and one RBI. Perez allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Fairbanks got the save. Prior to this series, Miami won two out of three against the Angels, but lost all three against the Braves before that. 

This season, Miami has a 3.93 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 526 runs with a .250 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Otto Lopez has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 53 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added 12 home runs and 51 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Janson Junk, who is 5-7 with a 4.63 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 81.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Marlins have won each of their last 10 home games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Pirates have lost each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last five night games against NL Central opponents.
• The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Pirates have won each of their last four night games at LoanDepot Park following a road loss.
• The Marlins have lost four of their last five games against NL Central opponents.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against National League opponents following a win.
• The road team has covered the run line in three of the last four games between the Pirates and Marlins.
• The Pirates have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine night games at LoanDepot Park against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Pirates’ last five road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Marlins’ last nine games against National League opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Pirates’ last seven night games at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Javier Sanoja has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven games.
• Janson Junk has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a losing record.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Endy Rodriguez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Endy Rodriguez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Pirates vs Marlins Prediction 

Miami was able to start this series with a win on Tuesday night and they have won three games in a row. The Marlins are 37-24 at home this year, while the Pirates are 28-33 on the road. Pittsburgh continues to struggle and they have scored one run in their last two games. The Pirates have not announced their starter for this game, while Junk has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. It is tough to know what the Pirates will do on the mound, but they have really slowed down at the plate. Take the Marlins here.

David Racey's Pick: Marlins ML