Phillies vs Nationals Prediction 8/15/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 15th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 69-52 this year after they lost game one by a score of 3-2 on Thursday night. Philadelphia led 1-0 and 2-1, but they couldn’t hang on and ended up with the loss. The Phillies recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Schwarber and Harper, who both had one RBI in the loss. Philadelphia started Luzardo, who allowed four hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Kerkering and Robertson pitched in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies lost two out of three against the Reds, but did sweep the Rangers in three games before that. Philadelphia has lost three games in a row and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 558 runs with a .253 batting average and a .323 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 42 home runs and 98 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added 15 home runs and 60 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 10-5 with a 2.68 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 144.2 innings pitched this year. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 49-72 this season after they won game one to start this series on Thursday night. Washington trailed 2-1 late in the game, but they scored two runs in the seventh to escape with the victory. The Nationals recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Tena, who went 1-3 with two RBIs in the win. Washington started Lord, who allowed seven hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Ogasawara picked up the win and Henry got the save. 

Prior to this series, the Nationals lost two out of three against the Royals, but did win two out of three against the Giants before that. Washington has won four of their last six games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.33 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .271 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 518 runs with a .244 batting average and a .309 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 25 home runs and 78 RBIs, while CJ Abrams has added 16 home runs and 47 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is MacKenzie Gore, who is 5-12 with a 4.09 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 132.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Nationals

• The Nationals have lost each of their last seven Friday night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have won 13 of their last 16 games against the Nationals following a loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in 13 of their last 16 games against the Nationals following a loss.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Nationals Park against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Nationals.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Nationals.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Phillies’ last eight games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Nationals’ last three games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Phillies’ last 11 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Phillies and Nationals at Nationals Park.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

• Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against the Phillies.
• MacKenzie Gore has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against the Phillies.
• Paul DeJong has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Nationals against NL opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Zack Wheeler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Phillies as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in seven of his last eight Friday night appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in 12 of the Phillies’ last 20 night games.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

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Phillies vs Nationals Prediction 

Philadelphia comes into this contest trying to snap their three game losing streak, but they have scored just three total runs in those three losses. The Phillies are 32-31 on the road this year, while the Nationals are 23-36 at home. Washington is starting to heat up over the last week, but they are starting Gore, who has allowed at least six earned runs in three of his last five starts. Philadelphia is going with Wheeler, who has allowed 2, 3, 4, 2, and 4 earned runs in his last five. I don’t love how Wheeler has looked recently, but I can’t trust Gore against this lineup. Take the Phillies by at least two here.