In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 18th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 43-30 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 5-2 and 3-8. In their game two loss, Philadelphia led 3-2 in the fifth inning, but they failed to score in the final four innings for the loss. The Phillies recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Turner, Schwarber, and Rojas, who all had one RBI in the loss. Philadelphia started Luzardo, who allowed six hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Banks, Ross, and Mercado all allowed at least one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies swept the Blue Jays in three games and won two out of three against the Cubs. Philadelphia has won five of their last six games and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 342 runs with a .257 batting average and a .331 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 22 home runs and 53 RBIs, while Trea Turner has added nine home runs and 34 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Ranger Suarez, who is 5-1 with a 2.32 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 50.1 innings pitched this season. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 29-42 this year after they won game two by a score of 8-3 on Tuesday night. Miami led 2-0 in the second inning, but they needed three runs in the sixth to retake the lead for the win. The Marlins recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Wagaman, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Miami started Quantrill, who allowed four hits and three earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Tarnok picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins swept the Nationals in three games, but lost two out of three against the Pirates before that. Miami has won four of their last five games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 5.00 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .262 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 292 runs with a .253 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 10 home runs and 34 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 10 home runs and 23 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is TBD.

Why the Phillies will beat the Marlins
The Phillies have won each of their last 10 Wednesday games against teams that held a losing record.
The Marlins have lost each of their last six night games against the Phillies at LoanDepot Park following a win.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Phillies at LoanDepot Park following a win.
The Phillies have covered the run line in 15 of their last 17 night games at LoanDepot Park following a loss.
The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts
Five of the Marlins’ last six home games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Three of the Phillies’ last four road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven games between the Phillies and Marlins at LoanDepot Park.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Phillies’ last six games against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Marlins’ last five home games against NL East opponents.
Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last five night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Kyle Stowers has scored at least one run in each of the Marlins’ last four games against NL East opponents at LoanDepot Park.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
Max Kepler has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against the Marlins.
Brandon Marsh has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies’ last four night games.
Ranger Suarez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games.
Trea Turner has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last four games against NL East opponents.
Alec Bohm has recorded a Double in three of the Phillies’ last four games against the Marlins.
Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances at LoanDepot Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Phillies vs Marlins Prediction 
Miami was able to get a nice win in game two of this series on Tuesday night and they have allowed three runs or fewer in three of their last four games. The Marlins are 15-21 at home this year, while the Phillies are 19-17 on the road. Both of these teams have played well over their last two series, but I am definitely concerned about the Miami pitching situation. The Phillies are starting Suarez, who has allowed a total of three earned runs in his last five starts. Suarez has been elite over the last few weeks, so I will take the Phillies -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Pick: Phillies -1.5