Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction 8/11/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 11th at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 64-56 this season after they won game one by a score of 6-5 last night. Philadelphia led 6-2 in the eighth inning, but their bullpen nearly blew the game in the narrow win. The Phillies recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Sosa, who went 2-3 with three RBIs. Painter allowed two hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Bowlan picked up the save. Prior to this series, Philadelphia lost two out of three against the Blue Jays, but did win three out of four against the Nationals before that. 

This season, Philadelphia has a 4.20 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 534 runs with a .238 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 35 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 25 home runs and 71 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 15-4 with a 2.65 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 149.2 innings pitched this season. 

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 59-60 this year after they lost game one by a score of 5-6 on Monday night. St. Louis scored three runs in the bottom of the eighth to make it a one run game, but couldn’t find the tying run in the loss. The Cardinals recorded eight hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Burleson, who went 2-4 with three RBIs. Dobbins allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Graceffo allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, St. Louis won two out of three against the Rockies and two out of three against the Yankees. 

This season, St. Louis has a 4.13 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 520 runs with a .241 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Jordan Walker has led the Cardinals with 23 home runs and 83 RBIs, while Alec Burleson has added 19 home runs and 81 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Andre Pallante, who is 12-6 with a 3.63 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 124.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

• The Cardinals have won each of their last nine Tuesday night games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Cardinals following a win.
• The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last nine Tuesday night games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL Central opponents following a win.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Cardinals have lost six of their last seven home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have won four of their last five games against National League opponents.
• The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games at Busch Stadium against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against NL East opponents.
• The Cardinals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Tuesday night games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the last seven games between the Phillies and Cardinals at Busch Stadium have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last four night games between the Phillies and Cardinals at Busch Stadium.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Ivan Herrera has hit a home run in three of his seven previous appearances against the Phillies after playing the previous day.
• Jordan Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances after playing the previous day.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Cristopher Sanchez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances in night games.
• Cristopher Sanchez has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Bryan De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite against NL Central opponents.

Phillies vs Cardinals Prediction

Philadelphia opened this series with a win on Monday night and they have scored 5+ runs in four of their last five games. The Phillies are 32-26 on the road this year, while the Cardinals are 30-34 at home. St. Louis has won three of their last five games, but they have allowed 18 runs in their last three. The Cardinals are starting Pallante, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts, while Sanchez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings. Take the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 8