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Phillies vs Braves Prediction 06/28/2025 Picks
Pick details
Philadelphia (48-34) vs Atlanta (37-44)
June 28, 2025 at 07:15 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 28th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 48-34 this season after they won game one in this series by a score of 13-0 on Friday. Philadelphia led 5-0 after the second inning and they were able to coast for the easy win. The Phillies recorded 17 hits in the game and they were led by Kemp and Castellanos, who both had three RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Banks, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 2.0 innings, while Walker got the win and Rangel got the save.
Prior to this series, the Phillies lost all three against the Astros, but did win two out of three against the Mets before that. Philadelphia has lost four of their last six games and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 383 runs with a .256 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 25 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Trea Turner has added 11 home runs and 37 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Jesus Luzardo, who is 7-3 with a 4.08 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 90.1 innings pitched this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 37-44 this year after they were blown out on Friday to start this series. Atlanta fell behind early in the game and their offense never showed up in the tough loss. The Braves recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Allen and Fairchild, who both had two RBIs in the loss. Atlanta started Elder, who allowed eight hits and nine earned runs over 2.0 innings for the loss, while Williams allowed two earned runs in relief.
Prior to this series, the Braves split four games with the Mets, but lost two out of three against the Marlins before that. Atlanta has lost three games in a row and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 332 runs with a .243 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 15 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added 12 home runs and 41 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Schwellenbach, who is 6-4 with a 3.21 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 103.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Braves will beat the Phillies
The Phillies have lost each of their last 10 night games against the Braves at Truist Park following a road win.
The Braves have won each of their last five home games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Braves following a win.
The Braves have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
Total Runs Facts
Five of the Phillies’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Twenty-two of the Braves’ last 28 home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Braves’ last seven night games against National League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Phillies’ last 13 games as underdogs.
Phillies vs Braves Prediction
Philadelphia jumped all over Atlanta for the easy win on Friday night and they are back in first place in the NL East. The Phillies are 22-20 on the road this year, while the Braves are 22-16 at home. Atlanta has been shutout in back to back games and they will face Luzardo, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in two of his last three starts. Atlanta is starting Schwellenbach, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five. I know the Braves were blown out on Friday, but I like them to bounce back behind Schwellenbach. Take Atlanta here.