Philadelphia Phillies vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 07/07/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Giants prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 7, at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies (53-37, 23-21 Away) won three consecutive series after defeating the Atlanta Braves, San Diego Padres, and Cincinnati Reds. Although they lost Game 1 to the Reds, the Phillies responded with 5-1 and 3-1 victories. In the latest one, Bryson Stott led the offense with two RBI, while Zack Wheeler had a complete game and got the win after allowing one run on one hit with 12 strikeouts and no walks.

This year, the Phillies average 4.59 runs per game (10th in the MLB) on a .256/.329/.405 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 3.70 ERA (9th) and 1.25 WHIP (15th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .251 batting average, 27 home runs, and 63 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Phillies is Christopher Sanchez, who is 7-2 in 17 starts this season, with a 2.68 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 100.2 innings.

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants (49-42, 25-17 Home) returned home from a three-series road trip, on which they lost to the Chicago White Sox, split with the Arizona Diamondbacks, and beat the Athletics. San Francisco did lose Game 1 against the A’s, but bounced back with 7-2 and 6-2 wins. In Sunday’s victory, Willy Adames led the offense with three RBI, while Hayden Birdsong got the win after allowing one run on three hits with six strikeouts and five walks across 5.0 innings of work.

This season, the Giants average 4.19 runs per game (19th in the MLB) on a .231/.312/.374 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Giants’ staff has a 3.44 ERA (2nd) and 1.24 WHIP (12th). Wilmer Flores leads the Giants with a .241 batting average, 11 home runs, and 55 RBI this season.

Landen Roupp will take the mound for the Giants on Monday. The 26-year-old right-hander has a 6-5 record in 17 starts this year with a 3.48 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 85.1 innings.

Why the Phillies will beat the Giants

The Phillies have won eight of their last nine night games against NL West opponents.
The Giants have lost each of their last six Monday games.
The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against NL West opponents.
The Giants have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games.
The Phillies have led after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against NL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Seven of the Phillies’ last eight road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Six of the Giants’ last seven night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last nine Monday night games at Oracle Park.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four games against NL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Giants rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (322).
The Giants rank 27th in the league for steals this season (45).
The Phillies rank 4th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.329).
The Phillies are one of only five teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.

Phillies vs Giants Prediction

The Phillies won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, while this season, the teams split a series in Philadelphia. It’s going to be a tight affair, but I am leaning toward the Phillies because of Christopher Sanchez, who has been excellent recently. Sanchez hasn’t allowed more than two runs in his last seven starts, while the last time he faced the Giants, he surrendered two earned runs in 7.0 innings as the Phillies secured a 6-4 win. Landen Roupp, on the other hand, allowed four runs in 6.0 innings the last time he met the Giants, but still got the win. However, San Francisco is not batting well against southpaws, having a .213 BA in 774 at-bats, which is Philadelphia’s advantage as long as Sanchez is on the mound. Back the Phillies.