The San Diego Padres and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Monday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The San Diego Padres will send out Matt Waldron for the start here and was 7-11 with a 4.91 ERA and 133 strikeouts last season. This will be Waldron’s second career start against the Phillies. The Philadelphia Phillies will start Zack Wheeler here and Wheeler is 7-3 with a 2.45 ERA and 126 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Padres, Wheeler is 3-0 with a 1.30 ERA and 35 strikeouts.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-2 loss at the hands of the Cincinnati Reds last time out to sit at 45-38 on the year. After this series, the Padres will head home for a series against the Texas Rangers.

Padres Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight Games

Manny Machado has 93 hits including a team-high 20 doubles, 13 home runs, 47 RBIs and 8 stolen bases while Fernando Tatis Jr. has 80 hits with a team-high 15 home runs and 37 RBIs along with 17 stolen bases of his own this season. Luis Arraez has added 89 hits with 17 doubles, 4 triples, 4 home runs and 31 RBIs while Jackson Merrill’s added 58 hits with 5 home runs and 26 RBIs as well. Xander Bogaerts also has 17 doubles and 13 stolen bases as well this season. Gavin Sheets also has 14 doubles, 13 home runs and 49 RBIs as well this season.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

The Padres have won each of their last seven games against NL East opponents following a loss.
The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against NL West opponents following a win.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Padres’ last seven games.
The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games at Citizens Bank Park following a road win.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

Xander Bogaerts has hit a home run in two of the Padres’ last three games as underdogs.
Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one Double in three of the Padres’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against NL East opponents.
Manny Machado ranks T10th in the league in Hits (93) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to build on their 2-1 win over the Atlanta Braves last time out to sit at 49-35 on the year. After this series, the Phillies will square off against the Cincinnati Reds at home.

Phillies Looking For Consistent Offense

Nick Castellanos has 89 hits with 22 doubles including 9 home runs and 44 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 77 hits with a team-high 25 home runs and 57 RBIs but also has a team-high 95 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 8 stolen bases, 13 doubles, 9 home runs and 34 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 100 hits with a team-high 20 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 14 doubles and Bryson Stott has 8 doubles, 2 triples, 5 homers and 34 RBIs while Stott also has 12 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

The Padres have lost each of their last eight night games against the Phillies following a road loss.
The Phillies have won seven of their last eight games against NL West opponents.
The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against NL West opponents.
The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

Max Kepler has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against NL West opponents.
Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in six of the Phillies’ last seven games as favorites against the Padres.
Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 home games against the Padres.
Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against NL West opponents.
Trea Turner ranks 4th in the league in Hits (100) this season.

Total Runs Facts

Six of the Phillies’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Three of the Padres’ last four games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’m on the Phillies here. I get that this is a hefty plus money price to have on the table with the Padres, but the Phillies are still the team with the significant pitching edge in this matchup, as who knows what we’re going to see from Waldron in his debut this year. Waldron had his ups and downs for sure, but this is a tricky spot for him and I think Philly gives him a not so warm welcome to start the year. Give me the Phillies in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Philadelphia -225