The New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Saturday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send out Griffin Canning for the start here and Canning is 6-3 with a 3.80 ERA and 63 strikeouts this season. In his career, Canning is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 6 strikeouts against Philadelphia. Mick Abel will start this one for Philadelphia and is 2-0 with a 2.21 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. This will be Abel’s first career start against the Mets.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets will be out to bounce back from their series-opening 10-2 loss at the hands of the Phillies last time out to sit at 45-31 on the year. After this series, the Mets will head home for a series against the Atlanta Braves.

Mets Lose Seven In A Row

Pete Alonso has 82 hits with 22 doubles, 17 home runs, 63 RBIs and a .291 batting average while Juan Soto has 66 hits with 14 doubles, 14 home runs and 37 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 78 hits with 13 stolen bases along with 13 doubles, 14 home runs and 38 RBIs while Mark Vientos has 6 home runs, 21 RBIs, but 49 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 64 hits with 13 doubles and 13 home runs and 39 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 9 doubles and Luisangel Acuna has 11 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

The Mets have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Phillies.
The Phillies have lost four of their last six games as favorites against the Mets following a win.
The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against the Mets at Citizens Bank Park following a home win.
The Mets have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Pete Alonso has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last five road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Griffin Canning has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against NL opponents.
Griffin Canning has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against NL opponents.
Pete Alonso has recorded an RBI in each of the Mets’ last six games as underdogs against the Phillies.
Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one hit in each of his 17 previous Saturday night appearances against NL East teams that held a winning record.
Jose Siri has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
Pete Alonso ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.565) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to build on their win over the Mets from Friday’s series opener to sit at 46-30 on the year. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the Houston Astros.

Phillies Keep The Momentum Going

Nick Castellanos has 78 hits with 18 doubles including 7 home runs and 36 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 66 hits with a team-high 23 home runs and 54 RBIs but also has a team-high 86 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 8 stolen bases, 13 doubles, 9 home runs and 34 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 90 hits with a team-high 19 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 14 doubles and Bryson Stott has 7 doubles, 2 triples, 5 homers and 31 RBIs while Stott also has 12 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

The Phillies have won each of their last 15 Saturday night home games against National League opponents.
The Mets have lost each of their last seven games.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
The Phillies have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 Saturday night home games against National League opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

Brandon Marsh has recorded a Double in each of the Phillies’ last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Nick Castellanos has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two games as home favorites.
Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of his last 10 Saturday night appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.
Trea Turner ranks 4th in the league in Hits (92) this season.

Total Runs Facts

Seven of the last eight games between the Mets and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
Seventeen of the Mets’ last 22 games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’m on the Phillies here. I get that the Mets are still a decent lineup, but once again, until the Mets show me a pulse, it’s hard to feel good about where they’re heading. The Phillies continue to take advantage of a down Mets team and with how the Phillies are starting to surge and smell blood in the water, I think that Philadelphia could deal the Mets another blow here. Canning has not been as sharp in a lot of his recent outings and I think the Phillies get to him on the way to another W here. Give me the Phillies in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Philadelphia -120