Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction 06/19/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 19, at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies (44-30, 20-17 Away) returned to winning ways after losing Game 2 of the current series to the Marlins. Philly was on a five-game winning run, including the series-opening 5-2 win over Miami, but the Marlins prevented them from making it six in a row. Still, the Phillies responded with a 4-2 victory on Wednesday. Bryson Stott led the offense with three RBI, while Ranger Suarez got the win after allowing one run on four hits with eight strikeouts and two walks across 7.0 innings of work.

This year, the Phillies average 4.68 runs per game (7th in the MLB) on a .257/.331/.406 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 3.94 ERA (17th) and 1.29 WHIP (17th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .240 batting average, 22 home runs, and 53 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Phillies is Christopher Sanchez, who is 5-2 in 14 starts this season, with a 3.05 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 79.2 innings.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins (29-43, 15-22 Home) snapped a five-series losing streak with a sweep of the Washington Nationals on the road. The Marlins tied the current series against the Phillies with a win on Tuesday, but fell short 5-3 in Game 3 last night, and now will try to get a W and earn a split. Adam Mazur took the loss on Wednesday after allowing four runs on five hits with five strikeouts and four walks in 5.2 innings.

This season, the Marlins average 4.11 runs per game (23rd in the MLB) on a .253/.315/.386 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Marlins’ staff has a 5.00 ERA (28th) and 1.41 WHIP (27th). Kyle Stowers leads the Marlins with a .274 batting average, ten home runs, and 34 RBI this season.

Edward Cabrera will take the mound for the Marlins on Thursday. The 27-year-old right-hander has a 2-2 record in 11 starts this year with a 4.10 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 52.2 innings.

Total Runs Facts

Six of the Marlins’ last seven games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Four of the Phillies’ last five road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Marlins’ last six home games against NL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Phillies’ last six night games against NL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Marlins rank 26th in the league for home runs this season (64).
The Marlins rank 26th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.262).
The Phillies rank 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.257).
The Phillies rank 3rd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.331).

Phillies vs Marlins Prediction

The Phillies won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of six meetings this season. Four of those six H2H duels went Over, and seven of the last ten as well. I am going with Over here because of a relatively low total of 7.5 runs. Christopher Sanchez did record three straight quality starts, but he allowed multiple runs in six of his previous seven starts. I need Miami to score at least two in the opening five innings to keep this bet alive. Edward Cabrera, on the other hand, is in better form than Sanchez, but the Marlins’ bullpen is one of the weakest in the MLB, allowing a 4.53 ERA, while Philadelphia’s is allowing a 4.56 ERA. That said, I expect multiple runs on each side late on. Go with Over.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Over 7.5