Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 4/26/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Braves Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, April 26th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 19-9 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL East. They have a 9-5 home record and are coming off a 5-8 home loss against the Phillies. Their previous three games were a 5-3 home win against the Phillies, a 7-2 and an 8-6 road win against the Nationals.

The Braves have a .273 batting average this season, .340 OBP and .450 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.24 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .333 batting average. Drake Baldwin leads the team in RBI with 24, and Matt Olson adds a team‑high 7 home runs.

Chris Sale (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 4-1 record, 2.79 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 9-18 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the NL East. They have a 4-8 away record and are coming off an 8-5 road win against the Braves. Their previous three games were a 3-5 road loss against the Braves, a 7-8 and a 2-7 road loss against the Cubs.

The Phillies have a .224 batting average this season, .299 OBP and .368 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 5.08 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .300 batting average. Bryce Harper leads the team in RBI with 18, and Kyle Schwarber adds a team‑high 8 home runs.

Aaron Nola (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 1-2 record, 5.06 ERA and 1.46 WHIP.

Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: April 26, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Chris Sale      Record this season: 4-1      ERA: 2.79
• Home Record: 3-0
• Last 5 against Phillies: 2-0

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Phillies have lost each of their last eight games against the Braves following a road win.
• The Braves have won each of their last eight games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games against the Braves following a win.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against National League opponents after going to extra innings.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Sunday games against the Phillies at Truist Park.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola      Record this season: 1-2      ERA: 5.06
• Road Record: 1-2
• Last 5 against Braves: 2-1

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Braves have lost eight of their last 10 games as favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Phillies have won eight of their last nine day games against the Braves following a win.
• The road team has covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Phillies and Braves.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games at Truist Park after going to extra innings.
• The Braves have lost the first inning in six of their last seven games.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last seven home games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Phillies’ last six games as underdogs against the Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Braves’ last eight games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Phillies’ last five road games against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Chris Sale has recorded a win in each of his last five home appearances.
• Chris Sale has recorded seven or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances against NL opponents.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 11 home games.
• Sean Murphy has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three road games against NL East opponents.
• Aaron Nola has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL East opponents.
• Aaron Nola has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against NL East opponents.

Phillies vs Braves Prediction

The Braves are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Phillies, and both teams are tied 2-2 in their last 4 meetings in Atlanta. Under is 9-2 in their last 11 meetings.

In this Phillies vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -170 home favorites. The Phillies finally managed to win one in the 10th inning of yesterday’s game but with Sale on the mound for the Braves, I seriously doubt that they will win a second straight. Nola has been terrible this season with a 5+ ERA and has 3+ earned runs in four of his last five starts and he goes up against Atlanta’s best offense. The Braves also have the 6th-best bullpen in baseball and I like them in a bounce-back spot at home today. Take the Braves on the moneyline.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Atlanta Braves ML