In this article we will formulate a Padres vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 1st at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 45-39 this year after they lost game one in this series by a score of 4-0 on Monday. San Diego fell behind in the second inning and their offense never showed up in the loss. The Padres recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Bogaerts, who went 3-4 in the loss. San Diego started Waldron, who allowed six hits and four earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Peralta and Morgan combined for 3.1 scoreless innings in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Padres lost two out of three against the Reds, but did win two out of three against the Nationals before that. San Diego has lost three of their last four games and they are currently second in the NL West standings. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 345 runs with a .247 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. Fernando Tatis has led San Diego with 15 home runs and 37 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added 13 home runs and 49 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Nick Pivetta, who is 8-2 with a 3.36 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 91.0 innings pitched this year. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 50-35 this season after they won game one by a score of 4-0. Philadelphia scored once in the second, twice in the fourth, and once in the fifth for the shutout win. The Phillies recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Castellanos, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI in the win. Philadelphia started Wheeler, who allowed six hits and zero earned runs over 8.0 innings for the win, while Banks closed out the game. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Braves, but did get swept by the Astros before that. Philadelphia has won three of their last four games and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 390 runs with a .254 batting average and a .329 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 25 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Trea Turner has added 11 home runs and 39 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 6-2 with a 2.79 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 93.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Padres
The Padres have lost each of their last seven night games against the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park following a road loss.
The Phillies have won eight of their last nine games against NL West opponents.
The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Phillies’ last five games at Citizens Bank Park.
The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Phillies following a road loss.
The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents.
The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts
Six of the Phillies’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Four of the Padres’ last five games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Padres and Phillies.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last four games at Citizens Bank Park.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
Nick Castellanos has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games as home favorites.
Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances against the Padres after playing the previous day.
Max Kepler has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL West opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
Gavin Sheets has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
Nick Pivetta has recorded six or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 20 appearances in night games.
Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one Double in four of the Padres’ last five games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against the Phillies.

Padres vs Phillies Prediction 
The Phillies were able to pick up a shutout win to start this series on Monday night and their pitching staff has been very good in recent games. Philadelphia is 27-14 at home this year, while San Diego is 20-25 on the road. The Padres have dropped three of their last four games and they have scored two runs or fewer in four of their last five. SD is starting Pivetta, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his last three starts. Philadelphia is going with Sanchez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight. The Padres are not hitting the ball very well right now and Sanchez has been rolling, so give me the Phillies by at least two runs here. 

David Racey's Pick: Phillies -1.5