Orioles vs Phillies Prediction 08/05/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 5th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 51-62 this year after they lost game one by a score of 13-3 on Monday night. Baltimore led 3-1 in the third inning, but they failed to score over the last six innings for the loss. The Orioles recorded five hits in the game and they were led by O’Neill, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Baltimore started Povich, who allowed four hits and four earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Martin allowed six earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Cubs, but did win three out of four against the Blue Jays before that. Baltimore has lost four of their last five games and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.90 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .266 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 492 runs with a .243 batting average and a .307 on base percentage this season. Jackson Holliday has led Baltimore with 14 home runs and 43 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 13 home runs and 47 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, who is 8-7 with a 4.27 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 126.1 innings pitched this year. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 64-48 this season after they won game one in this series in blowout fashion. Philadelphia trailed in the early innings, but they scored the last 12 runs for the easy victory. The Phillies recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Schwarber, who went 3-5 with two home runs and six RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Luzardo, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Banks and Johnson closed out the game. 

Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Tigers, but lost two out of three against the White Sox before that. Philadelphia has won three of their last four games and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 529 runs with a .254 batting average and a .326 on base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 40 home runs and 94 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos has added 15 home runs and 60 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Taijuan Walker, who is 3-5 with a 3.82 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 73.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Orioles

• The Phillies have won each of their last eight night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have lost each of their last six Tuesday night games against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight Tuesday night games against American League opponents.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Tuesday night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Phillies’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Orioles’ last three night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Orioles’ last 12 games at Citizens Bank Park.

Orioles vs Phillies Prediction 

Philadelphia came from behind to pull away in a huge victory on Monday night and they have allowed just three runs in their last two games. The Phillies are 36-20 at home this year, while the Orioles are 24-35 on the road. Baltimore has lost four of their last five games and they have lost all momentum that they previously had before the Cubs series. The Orioles are starting Kremer, who has allowed eight earned runs and 12 hits in his last 11.0 innings. The Phillies are going with Walker, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. I don’t really trust Philadelphia with Walker on the mound, but I have concerns about the Baltimore lineup and the Phillies bullpen is great. Take the Phillies here.