Your cart is currently empty!

Orioles vs Braves Prediction 07/06/2025 Picks
Pick details
Baltimore (39-49) vs Atlanta (39-49)
July 6, 2025 at 11:35 AM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta -1.5 — Over/Under: +9
In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 6th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 39-49 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 3-2 and 9-6. In their game two win, Baltimore was able to tie the game in the seventh inning, before scoring three runs in the 10th for the win. The Orioles recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Cowser, Stallings, and Westburg, who both had two RBIs in the win. Baltimore started Kremer, who allowed eight hits and five earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Bautista picked up the win and Cano got the save.
Prior to this series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Rangers, but did win two out of three against the Rays before that. Baltimore has won four of their last six games and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.98 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .270 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 369 runs with a .240 batting average and a .305 on base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with 13 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added 11 home runs and 30 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Trevor Rogers, who is 1-0 with a 2.05 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP over 22.0 innings pitched this year.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 39-49 this season after they lost game two by a score of 9-6 on Saturday afternoon. Atlanta led 2-0 in the first inning and 6-5 in the sixth, but they didn’t score over the final four innings for the loss. The Braves recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Riley, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Atlanta started Bummer, who allowed two hits and three earned runs over 2.1 innings, while Montero picked up the loss in relief.
Prior to this series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Angels and two out of three against the Phillies. Atlanta has lost five of their last six games and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 356 runs with a .243 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 17 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added 13 home runs and 45 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Grant Holmes, who is 4-7 with a 3.47 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 96.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Orioles will beat the Braves
The Braves have lost five of their last six games as favorites.
The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Orioles and Braves.
The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as road underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Braves’ last six home games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Nine of the Orioles’ last 10 games following an extra innings win have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Orioles’ last eight day games against NL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five day games against American League opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
Austin Riley has hit a home run in five of his last eight home appearances against AL East opponents.
Matt Olson has recorded at least one Double in each of the Braves’ last four day games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 home appearances against AL opponents.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last two games as underdogs.
Cedric Mullins has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 12 road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Ryan O’Hearn has recorded a Double in each of the Orioles’ last three day games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Orioles vs Braves Prediction
Baltimore comes into this contest looking to complete the series sweep, while Atlanta is trying to snap their three game losing streak. The Braves are 24-21 at home this year, while the Orioles are 20-27 on the road. Atlanta is really struggling right now and they are starting Holmes, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings. The Orioles are going with Rogers, who has allowed a total of two earned runs in his last 13.1 innings. Both of these pitchers have been decent in recent outings, but I think we have some value with the Orioles at plus money. Take Baltimore here.