In this article we will formulate an Orioles vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 4th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 37-49 this year after they lost two out of three against Texas by scores of 10-6, 2-10, and 0-6. In their game three loss, Baltimore fell behind in the third inning and never got their offense going in the shutout. The Orioles recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Holliday, who went 1-4 in the loss. Baltimore started Sugano, who allowed 10 hits and six earned runs over 4.2 innings for the loss, while Martin, Cano, and Kittredge combined for 3.1 scoreless innings. 

Prior to that series, the Orioles won two out of three against the Rays, but did lose two out of three against the Rangers before that. Baltimore has split their last six games and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 5.01 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .271 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 357 runs with a .240 batting average and a .306 on base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with 12 home runs and 39 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added 11 home runs and 30 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Charlie Morton, who is 4-7 with a 5.63 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP over 72.0 innings pitched this year. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 39-47 this season after they lost two out of three against the Angels by scores of 0-4, 8-3, and 1-5. In their game three loss, Atlanta allowed the first five runs in the game, but they scored in the ninth to avoid the shutout. The Braves recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Profar, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Atlanta started Elder, who allowed eight hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while De Los Santos allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Phillies and split four games with the Mets. Atlanta has lost six of their last eight games and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 348 runs with a .243 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 16 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added 12 home runs and 42 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Strider, who is 3-6 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 49.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Braves will beat the Orioles
The Braves have won 12 of their last 13 home games against American League opponents following a loss.
The Orioles have lost each of their last five night games against National League opponents.
The Braves have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against American League opponents following a loss.
The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Orioles have lost the first inning in three of their last four games at Truist Park.
The Braves have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
The Braves have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 13 games as home favorites against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts
Each of the Orioles’ last four night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Five of the Braves’ last six home games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Orioles’ last 11 night games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Braves’ last eight home games against American League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
Spencer Strider has recorded nine or more strikeouts in each of his five previous appearances with the Braves as home favorites against AL opponents.
Spencer Strider has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as favorites.
Matt Olson has recorded at least one Double in three of the Braves’ last four games against AL East opponents.
Jurickson Profar has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with his team as a favorite against AL opponents.
Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 home appearances against AL opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
Charlie Morton has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances at Truist Park against opponents that held a losing record.
Ramon Laureano has recorded a Double in three of the Orioles’ last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Jacob Stallings has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Cedric Mullins has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 10 road games against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Orioles vs Braves Prediction
Atlanta comes into this matchup after a disappointing series against the Angels at home, and they have dropped below Miami in the NL East standings. The Braves are 24-19 at home this year, while the Orioles are 18-27 on the road. Baltimore was outscored 16-2 in their last two games against Texas and they are starting Morton, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five starts. Atlanta is going with Strider, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four. Both teams have had some struggles at the plate, but I think Strider has a big advantage on the mound. Take the Braves -1.5 here. 

David Racey's Pick: Braves -1.5