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New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 07/03/2025 Picks
Pick details
New York (48-38) vs Toronto (48-38)
July 3, 2025 at 07:07 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto +1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5
The New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays meet Thursday in MLB action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction. This article will include a New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Pick.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 48-38 on the year and play the Mets, Mariners, and Cubs next. The New York Yankees are batting .254 on the season, have a .337 OBP, and a .447 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 115 hits and 70 RBI, while Paul Goldschmidt and Cody Bellinger have combined for 167 hits and 76 RBI.
Clarke Schmidt gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 4-4 with a 3.09 ERA and 72 strikeouts this season. Schmidt is 0-3 with a 2.78 ERA and 23 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 48-38 on the year and play the Angels, White Sox, and Athletics next. The Toronto Blue Jays are batting .258 on the season, have a .330 OBP, and a .401 slugging percentage. The Toronto Blue Jays pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 97 hits and 49 RBI while Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Ernie Clement have combined for 172 hits and 68 RBI.
Chris Bassitt gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 7-4 with a 4.29 ERA and 93 strikeouts this season. Bassitt is 3-1 with a 1.63 ERA and 44 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
The Blue Jays have won each of their last six games as underdogs.
The Yankees have lost seven of their last eight games as road favorites after playing the previous day.
The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as road favorites.
The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
Why the New York Yankees will win
The Yankees have won each of their last seven Thursday games.
The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 18 games against AL East opponents following a home win.
The Yankees have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents at Rogers Centre.
Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances with the Blue Jays as home underdogs.
Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his five previous appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL East opponents.
Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 Thursday appearances with the Blue Jays as underdogs.
Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Blue Jays as home underdogs against AL opponents.
Ernie Clement ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.303) this season.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Yankees as road favorites.
Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in each of his last five road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.363) this season.
New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
The Yankees are due for a bounce back effort and Schmidt is the pitcher who is capable of righting the ship. Schmidt has allowed 17 hits and seven runs in his last 32.1 innings. In 75.2 innings, Schmidt is allowing a .193 allowed batting average. Bassitt has been more hittable this season, and he’s allowed 28 hits and 17 earned runs in his last 28 innings. Bassitt just allowed eight hits and eight earned runs in two innings against the Red Sox. The Yankees have the more trustworthy pitching situation, and they usually don’t string together losses. Give me the Yankees.