In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 6, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees (48-41, 22-24 Away) beat the Athletics in two of three games to win the series, but then they were swept by the Toronto Blue Jays in four games away from home. The Yanks are now on a six-game losing skid after suffering a couple of losses to the New York Mets. In Saturday’s 12-6 defeat, Cody Bellinger led the offense with two RBI, while Carlos Rodon took the loss after allowing seven runs (six earned) on five hits with four strikeouts and three walks in 5.0 innings.

This year, the Yankees average 5.11 runs per game (4th in the MLB) on a .254/.338/.450 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 3.75 ERA (10th) and 1.21 WHIP (6th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .361 batting average, 32 home runs, and 71 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Yankees is Max Fried, who is 10-2 in 18 starts this season, with a 2.13 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 114.0 innings.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets (52-38, 33-13 Home) were surprisingly swept by the Pittsburgh Pirates in three games, but bounced back with a series win against the Milwaukee Brewers. The Mets have now won four consecutive games and will win this series against city rivals the Yankees, thanks to a pair of victories on Friday and Saturday. In last night’s 12-6 victory, Pete Alonso hit s couple of homers and led his offense with five RBI, while Brandon Nimmo contributed with four RBI. Frankie Montas got the win after allowing four runs on five hits with two strikeouts and no walks across 5.2 innings of work.

This season, the Mets average 4.34 runs per game (16th in the MLB) on a .244/.323/.416 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 3.49 ERA (4th) and 1.30 WHIP (19th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .290 batting average, 20 home runs, and 73 RBI this season.

Chris Devenski will take the mound for the Mets on Sunday. The 32-year-old right-hander will get his first start of the season. He posted a 3.38 ERA in 5.1 innings as a reliever so far.

Why the Yankees will cover

The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven Sunday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Yankees have covered the run line in six of their last eight day games against National League opponents following a loss.
The Yankees have led after 5 innings in three of their last four road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Mets’ last seven home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Yankees’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last eight Sunday games against National League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven Sunday day games against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Mets rank T5th in the league for ERA this season (3.51).
The Mets rank T6th in the league for home runs this season (118).
The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (138).
The Yankees rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (155).

Yankees vs Mets Prediction

The Mets won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, while this season, they were better in three of five meetings. I am going with the Yankees here because of the pitching matchup. Max Fried has been one of the best pitchers in the MLB this season, and he posted a 1.91 ERA in June. He surrendered more than three runs just twice this season, while the last time he faced the Mets, Fried allowed two runs in 6.0 innings in a win. Chris Devenski, on the other hand, is forced to start on the mound for the Mets due to numerous injuries to starters. Devenski will likely pitch for one or two innings in what should be a bullpen day for the Mets, and although the Mets have one of the best bullpens in the league, I am going with the Yanks to win and cover.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Yankees -1.5