In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 4, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees (48-39, 22-22 Away) beat the Athletics in two of three games to win the series, but then they were swept by the Toronto Blue Jays in four games on the road. In the most recent game, the Yankees lost 8-5. Anthony Volpe led the offense with two RBI, while Clarke Schmidt pitched for 3.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on four hits with one strikeout and two walks. Clayton Better took the loss.

This year, the Yankees average 5.11 runs per game (4th in the MLB) on a .254/.338/.448 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 3.72 ERA (10th) and 1.20 WHIP (5th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .364 batting average, 31 home runs, and 70 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Yankees is Marcus Stroman, who is 1-1 in four starts this season, with an 8.16 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in 14.1 innings.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets (50-38, 31-13 Home) were surprisingly swept by the Pittsburgh Pirates in three games and lost the opening game of the series against the Milwaukee Brewers, but responded with back-to-back wins to win that series. In Thursday’s 3-2 victory, David Peterson got the win after allowing two runs (one earned) on five hits with four strikeouts and three walks across 6.2 innings of work.

This season, the Mets average 4.32 runs per game (15th in the MLB) on a .244/.322/.414 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 3.47 ERA (3rd) and 1.30 WHIP (20th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .287 batting average, 18 home runs, and 67 RBI this season.

Justin Hagenman will take the mound for the Mets on Friday. The 28-year-old right-hander will get the first start of his career. So far, he appeared in two games as a reliever and posted a 1.50 ERA in 6.0 innings.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Yankees’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Mets’ last five games as favorites against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mets’ last 10 home games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last four day games against National League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Mets rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (328).
The Mets rank 7th in the league for home runs this season (112).
The Yankees rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.222).
The Yankees rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (636).

Yankees vs Mets Prediction

The Mets won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including five of the last seven. This season, though, the Yankees won two out of three meetings. I am not impressed with the way both the Mets and Yanks play recently, and I don’t know who will win Game 1 on Friday. That’s why I am opting for Over. Justin Hagenman got the place on the mound because Griffin Canning suffered an injury, and I don’t think the rookie will have a great time against the Yankees. Marcus Stroman, a former Mets pitcher who recently recovered from an injury, will also have problems on the mound. In four starts this season, Stroman allowed 3+ runs in three. Go with Over.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: 8.5