New York Yankees vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 6/11/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 11, at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees (40-25, 19-13 Away) lost to the Dodgers, beat the Guardians, and lost to the Red Sox before this series against the Royals. In Game 1 in Kansas City, the Yankees secured an easy 10-2 victory. Austin Wells led the offense with a career-high five RBI, while Max Fried got the win after allowing two runs on six hits with four strikeouts and no walks across 7.0 innings of work. 

This year, the Yankees average 5.52 runs per game (3rd in the MLB) on a .261/.345/.468 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 3.76 ERA (13th) and 1.20 WHIP (8th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .396 batting average, 24 home runs, and 58 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Yankees is Clarke Schmidt, who is 2-3 in nine starts this season, with a 4.04 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 49.0 innings.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals (34-33, 19-14 Home) defeated the Cardinals but then surprisingly lost two of three games to the Chicago White Sox. The Royals now lost three of the last four games following last night’s 10-2 defeat in Game 1 against the New York Yankees. Noah Cameron took the loss after allowing six runs on seven hits with six strikeouts and one walk in 5.2 innings. 

This season, the Royals average 3.40 runs per game (28th in the MLB) on a .253/.305/.372 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Royals’ staff has a 3.41 ERA (5th) and 1.21 WHIP (10th). Vinnie Pasquantino leads the Athletics with a .279 batting average, ten home runs, and 38 RBI this season.

Kris Bubic will take the mound for the Royals on Wednesday. The 27-year-old left-hander has a 5-3 record in 12 starts this year with a 1.43 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 75.1 innings.

Why the Royals will beat the Yankees

• The Royals have won each of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Wednesday night games as favorites against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last four games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Royals’ last seven games as underdogs against the Yankees have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Yankees’ last nine games as road favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Royals’ last seven games against AL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Royals rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (461).
• The Royals rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (228).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.345).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (265).

Yankees vs Royals Prediction

The Yankees won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last six. This season, the Yanks won all four meetings, but I am backing the Royals in this one, mainly because of Kris Bubic, who is one of the most serious candidates for the AL Cy Young Award. Bubic allowed only three runs in his last six starts, including three shutouts and five consecutive quality starts. Clarke Schmidt, on the other hand, is New York’s weakest pitcher in the current rotation, and he allowed multiple runs in five of his previous six starts. Go with the Royals.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Royals ML