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New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 07/20/2025 Picks
Pick details
New York (54-44) vs Atlanta (43-54)
July 20, 2025 at 01:35 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta -1.5 — Over/Under: +9.5
In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 20, at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees (54-44, 24-25 Away) won back-to-back series against the New York Mets and the Seattle Mariners, but lost to the Chicago Cubs. Following a defeat in Game 1 against the Braves, the Yanks responded with a 12-9 victory on Saturday. Trent Grisham led the offense with five RBI; Anthony Volpe contributed four RBI, while Will Warren pitched for 4.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing five runs on five hits with five strikeouts and three walks in 3.2 innings. Luke Weaver was credited with the win.
This season, the Yankees average 5.20 runs per game (3rd in the MLB) on a .256/.336/.454 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 3.86 ERA (15th) and 1.21 WHIP (6th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .353 batting average, 35 home runs, and 81 RBI this season.
Marcus Stroman will take the mound for the Yankees on Sunday. The 34-year-old right-hander has a 1-1 record in six starts this year with a 6.66 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in 24.1 innings.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves (43-54, 25-23 Home) lost four series in a row but closed the first half of the season with a win against the St. Louis Cardinals. Atlanta opened the second half with a win over the Yankees, but lost Game 2, 12-9, on Saturday. Ozzie Albies led the offense with five RBI, while Joey Wentz pitched for 4.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing no runs on two hits with two strikeouts and one walk. Raisel Iglesias took the loss.
This year, the Braves average 4.11 runs per game (22nd in the MLB) on a .243/.315/.390 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 3.87 ERA (16th) and 1.24 WHIP (12th). Matt Olson leads the Braves with a .262 batting average, 17 home runs, and 63 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Braves is Grant Holmes, who is 4-8 in 19 starts this season, with a 3.77 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 105.0 innings.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Yankees’ last eight road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Braves’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as road underdogs.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Braves’ last six games as favorites.
Matchup/League Facts
The Braves rank 5th in the league for hits allowed this season (756).
The Braves rank 24th in the league for doubles this season (141).
The Yankees rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.336).
The Yankees rank 1st in the league for walks this season (382).
Yankees vs Braves Prediction
The Braves won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including two of the last three. I have no idea who’s gonna win this rubber match, but I do expect to see a bunch of runs. Marcus Stroman is having the worst season of his career, and he has allowed multiple runs in all but one start. Stroman is still without a quality start, and I don’t think he will get one today. Grant Holmes, on the other hand, has been solid and in better form than Stroman, but it’s going to be hard to keep the Yankees in check after last night’s 12-run game. I am backing both offenses to score 3+ runs in the opening five runs. Eight of New York’s last ten games went Over, which was the case in eight of Atlanta’s previous ten.