New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 07/27/2025 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Giants prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 27, at Oracle Park in San Francisco, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets (61-44, 24-28 Away) opened the second half with a pair of defeats and lost a series to the Cincinnati Reds, but then won six consecutive games. After sweeping the Los Angeles Angels, the Mets won back-to-back games of the current series against the Giants. In last night’s 2-1 victory, Mark Vientos drove in both runs for the offense, while David Peterson got the win after allowing one run on eight hits with four strikeouts and three walks across 6.0 innings of work.

This year, the Mets average 4.39 runs per game (14th in the MLB) on a .242/.322/.411 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 3.52 ERA (3rd) and 1.30 WHIP (20th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .269 batting average, 22 home runs, and 81 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Mets is Kodai Senga, who is 7-3 in 15 starts this season, with a 1.79 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 80.2 innings.

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants (54-51, 28-22 Home) started the second half with four losses in a row after being swept by the Toronto Blue Jays, but they managed to win b2b games and win a series against the Atlanta Braves. San Francisco scored just two runs in two defeats to the Mets in this series. In Saturday’s 2-1 defeat, Robbie Ray took the loss after allowing two runs on five hits with three strikeouts and three walks in 5.2 innings.

This season, the Giants average 4.12 runs per game (23rd in the MLB) on a .233/.311/.375 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Giants’ staff has a 3.63 ERA (6th) and 1.27 WHIP (17th). Wilmer Flores leads the Giants with a .245 batting average, 12 home runs, and 59 RBI this season.

Matt Gage will take the mound for the Giants on Sunday. The 32-year-old left-hander has a 0-0 record in zero starts this year with a 0.00 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 9.2 innings.

Why the Mets will beat the Giants

• The Mets have won each of their last eight games as favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Giants have lost eight of their last nine day games after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last 10 road games against NL West opponents.
• The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games at Oracle Park following a loss.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Giants have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four day games at Oracle Park against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Four of the Mets’ last five day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Giants’ last five games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Giants’ last eight games at Oracle Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four games as favorites against NL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Giants rank 27th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.375).
• The Giants rank 26th in the league for hits this season (807).
• The Mets rank 4th in the league for walks this season (364).
• The Mets are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.

Mets vs Giants Prediction

The Mets won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last three. I am backing the Mets to win this one and sweep the series because I don’t even know who Matt Gage is. It’s going to be the first-ever start in the MLB for Gage, and I am sure he will be under heavy pressure. Kodai Senga, on the other hand, allowed just five runs in his previous four starts and is one of the best pitchers in the NL, and one of the candidates for the Cy Young Award. Go with the Mets.