New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction 6/7/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Padres Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, June 7th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

San Diego Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres have a 33-30 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL West. They have a 17-17 home record and are coming off a 3-2 home win against the Mets. They will face the Reds and the Orioles next.

The Padres have a .214 batting average this season, .289 OBP and .355 Slugging percentage. San Diego’s pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. is the team’s best hitter with a .274 batting average. Manny Machado leads the team in RBI with 32, adding a team-high 11 home runs.

Randy Vasquez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres, and he has a 5-3 record, 3.31 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.

New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets have a 28-36 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 13-21 road record and are coming off a 2-3 road defeat against the Padres. They will face the Cardinals and the Braves next.

The Mets have a .228 batting average this season, .292 OBP and .362 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Juan Soto is the team’s best hitter with a .280 batting average, also adding a team-high 13 home runs. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 32.

Huascar Brazobán (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 3-1 record, 2.25 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.

New York Mets @ San Diego Padres Betting Trends: June 7, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Randy Vasquez      Record this season: 5-3      ERA: 3.31
• Home Record: 3-2
• Last 5 against Mets: 0-1

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last 12 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Padres have won each of their last eight Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight day games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Padres have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Padres have won the first inning in each of their last seven Sunday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Sunday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Sunday games against opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Huascar Brazoban      Record this season: 3-1      ERA: 2.25
• Road Record: 3-1
• Last 5 against Padres: 0-0

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Padres have lost each of their last five games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won each of the Mets’ last three games.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as favorites following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Padres’ last eight games.
• The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Padres’ last eight home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last six road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 14 of the Mets’ last 15 day games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last seven games.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Gavin Sheets has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 11 home games against NL East opponents.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T10th in the league in Steals (14) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Padres rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (238).
• The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (436).
• The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (80).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.361).

Mets vs Padres Prediction

The Padres are 6-3 in their last 9 meetings against the Mets and are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in San Diego.

In this Mets vs Padres Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. The Mets are going for a bullpen game and I cannot trust them on the road, where they are just 13-21 this season. On top of that, their offense has been struggling, having scored three runs or less in three of their last five games and have won only once of their last six visits in San Diego. The Padres have the 4th-best bullpen in baseball and are better against righties, so pick them to win this one at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: San Diego Padres ML