New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction 6/5/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The New York Mets and San Diego Padres meet Friday in MLB action at Petco Park. Here’s a New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction. This article will include a New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 27-35 on the year and play the Braves and Cardinals next. The New York Mets are batting .228 on the season, have a .293 OBP, and have a .359 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 56 hits and 31 RBI, while Carson Benge and Marcus Semien have combined for 102 hits and 47 RBI.

Christian Scott gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 1-0 with a 2.97 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. This will be Scott’s first career game against the San Diego Padres.

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 32-29 on the year and play the Reds and Orioles next. The San Diego Padres are batting. 216 on the season, have a .291 OBP, and have a .360 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 61 hits and 18 RBI, while Miguel Andujar and Xander Bogaerts have combined for 96 hits and 44 RBI.

Michael King gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 4-4 with a 3.18 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. King is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last 10 games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Padres have won nine of their last 10 night games against the Mets following a road loss.
• The Padres have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road night games.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Padres have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
• The Mets have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as road underdogs against NL West opponents following a win.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Padres’ last six home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last four road games against National League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mets’ last 10 games against NL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last five games against National League opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Gavin Sheets has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Marcus Semien has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Friday appearances.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Padres rank 30th in the league for RBIs this season (228).
• The Padres rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.216).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.293).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for walks this season (177).

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction

The Padres should have the edge at home with King on the mound, but I’m not getting behind this group in their current form. The Padres have lost 5 straight games and have won just 3 games since May 19. Sure, the Mets have had issues of their own and have been the kings of underachieving, but they’ve also shown signs of life this week and far more recently. The Padres being favoured given their current form is insane. Give me the Mets and the more favorable price.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New York Mets