New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 8/8/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Pirates Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, August 8th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 57-61 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 29-29 home record and are coming off a 4-6 home loss against the Mets. They will face the Marlins and the Red Sox next.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a .257 batting average this season, .334 OBP and .412 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.32 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .311 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI with 73, adding a team-high 24 home runs.

Bubba Chandler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 4-8 record, 4.49 ERA and 1.41 WHIP.

New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets have a 51-66 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 26-32 away record and are coming off a 6-4 road win against the Pirates. They will face the Braves and the Nationals next.

The New York Mets have a .235 batting average this season, .305 OBP and .387 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Carson Benge is the team’s best hitter with a .270 batting average. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 56, while Juan Soto adds a team-high 21 home runs.

Robert Stock (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 0-1 record, 1.80 ERA and 0.60 WHIP.

New York Mets @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: August 8, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Bubba Chandler      Record this season: 4-8      ERA: 4.49
• Home Record: 2-3
• Last 5 against Mets: –

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Pirates have won each of their last 11 games as favorites against the Mets following a home loss.
• The Mets have lost each of their last eight Saturday road games.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 night games against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against the Mets.
• The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight Saturday games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Robert Stock      Record this season: 0-1      ERA: 1.80
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Pirates: 0-0

Why the New York Mets will win

• The road team has won each of the Mets’ last seven games.
• The Pirates have lost five of their last six games as favorites.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the Mets’ last seven games.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
• The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last five games between the Mets and Pirates at PNC Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Mets’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Pirates’ last eight Saturday night games at PNC Park.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight night games at PNC Park.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Esmerlyn Valdez has hit a home run in three of the Pirates’ last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Bubba Chandler has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Pirates as favorites.
• Nick Gonzales ranks 4th in the league in Hits (132) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Marcus Semien has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two games.
• Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Pirates.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1048).
• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1114).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (147).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.305).

Mets vs Pirates Prediction

The Mets are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Pirates but are 1-3 in their last 4 visits in Pittsburgh.

In this Mets vs Pirates Prediction, the Pirates are coming as -135 home favorites. The Pirates are unbackable at this point, with a 2-8 record in their last 10 games and I don’t trust Bubba Chandler to put them on the right track. The Mets have been red-hot with four consecutive wins where they have scored 31 total runs and will be facing a struggling Pirates offense that scores just 2.9 runs in their last 10 games. Take the Mets on the moneyline for plus money.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: New York Mets ML