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New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 06/29/2025 Picks
Pick details
New York (48-36) vs Pittsburgh (34-50)
June 29, 2025 at 01:35 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh +1.5 — Over/Under: +9.5
The New York Mets and Pittsburgh Pirates meet Sunday in MLB action at PNC Park. Here’s a New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction. This article will include a New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pick.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 48-36 on the year and play the Brewers, Yankees, and Orioles next. The New York Mets are batting .245 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .417 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.35 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the New York Mets with 93 hits and 65 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 162 hits and 86 RBI.
Frankie Montas gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 5 strikeouts this season. This will be Montas’ second career game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 34-50 on the year and play the Cardinals, Mariners, and Royals next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .231 on the season, have a .305 OBP, and a .340 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 72 hits and 44 RBI while Andrew McCutchen and Ke’Bryan Hayes have combined for 136 hits and 55 RBI.
Mike Burrows gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 1-2 with a 4.45 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. This will be Burrows’ first career game against the New York Mets.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
The Pirates have won each of their last four games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
The Mets have lost each of their last three games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Mets.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
The Pirates have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against NL East opponents.
The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
Why the New York Mets will win
The Mets have won seven of their last eight day games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
The Pirates have lost six of their last seven day games against the Mets following a win.
The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in six of their last eight games against the Mets following a win.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in each of the Pirates’ last four games as underdogs.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Pirates as home underdogs against NL opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
Jeff McNeil has hit at least one home run in each of his last three appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Pete Alonso has recorded at least one Double in three of the Mets’ last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in 21 of his last 22 appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
The Mets continue to lose and while you’d assume they’re going to turn things around at some point given the talent, they need to do so because they’re burning a hole in pockets. I don’t have much confidence in Montas with just five innings under his belt this season. The Pirates have played OK ball over the last week, and Burrows has been on fire in June, allowing 22 hits and seven runs in his last 22 innings. I need to see the Mets turn things around before I can back them with confidence. Give me the Pirates.