In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 22, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets (46-31, 19-21 Away) were swept by the Tampa Bay Rays and Atlanta Braves and were on a seven-game losing run, but managed to snap that negative streak with an 11-4 win in Game 2 against the Philadelphia Phillies on Saturday. Juan Soto led the offense with a pair of homers and four RBI, while Griffin Canning got the win after allowing four runs (three earned) on six hits with four strikeouts and two walks in 5.0 innings.

This year, the Mets average 4.49 runs per game (12th in the MLB) on a .246/.328/.423 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 3.15 ERA (1st) and 1.27 WHIP (16th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .294 batting average, 18 home runs, and 64 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Mets is David Peterson, who is 5-2 in 14 starts this season, with a 2.60 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 86.2 innings.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies (46-31, 25- 14 Home) won eight of their previous ten games. The Phillies beat the Cubs, swept the Blue Jays, and defeated the Miami Marlins in recent series. Philadelphia opened the current series against the Mets with a 10-2 win, but lost Game 2 on Saturday, 11-4. Mick Abel took the loss after allowing four runs on six hits with one strikeout and no walks in 3.0 innings.

This season, the Phillies average 4.71 runs per game (9th in the MLB) on a .257/.332/.406 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 3.83 ERA (12th) and 1.27 WHIP (17th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .246 batting average, 23 home runs, and 54 RBI this season.

Jesus Luzardo will take the mound for the Phillies on Sunday. The 23-year-old left-hander has a 6-3 record in 15 starts this year with a 4.41 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 83.2 innings.

Why the New York Mets will win

The Mets have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Phillies.
The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a home loss.
The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against the Phillies following a win.
The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 Sunday games as favorites against National League opponents.
The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Phillies’ last four home games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Thirteen of the Mets’ last 17 night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four games as favorites.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Mets’ last eight games against National League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Phillies rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (674).
The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
The Mets rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (279).
The Mets rank T3rd in the league for walks this season (278).

Mets vs Phillies Prediction

The Mets won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of five meetings this season. I am backing them to win once again, mainly because of David Peterson, who has been excellent this season. Peterson already faced the Phillies this year and allowed two runs in 5.1 innings in a no-decision. He hasn’t surrendered more than three runs in a game so far. Jesus Luzardo, on the other hand, has been struggling lately after allowing 25 runs in his last four starts! I am backing the Mets to get to him early on.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Mets ML