New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 7/20/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

The New York Mets and Milwaukee Brewers meet Monday in MLB action at American Family Field. Here’s a New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction. This article will include a New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 42-58 on the year and play the Dodgers and Braves next. The New York Mets are batting .234 on the season, have a .304 OBP, and have a .382 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 99 hits and 51 RBI, while Carson Benge and Juan Soto have combined for 178 hits and 90 RBI.

Freddy Peralta gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 5-8 with a 4.66 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season. This will be Peralta’s first career game against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 62-37 on the year and play the Giants and Rockies next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting. 253 on the season, have a .337 OBP, and have a .396 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 3.45 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 99 hits and 57 RBI, while Brice Turang and Jake Bauers have combined for 174 hits and 119 RBI.

Jacob Misiorowski gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 10-4 with a 1.62 ERA and 167 strikeouts this season. This will be Misiorowski’s second career game against the New York Mets.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last seven night games against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have won eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in five of their last six home games after playing the previous day.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in 12 of their last 15 games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won four of their last five road games.
• The Brewers have lost five of their last six games at American Family Field against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games at American Family Field against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have covered the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against the Brewers.
• The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four home games.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Brewers’ last 10 games as favorites against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Mets’ last five games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last five games as favorites.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Mets’ last five games against NL Central opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• William Contreras has hit at least one home run in each of the Brewers’ last two games against the Mets.
• Jacob Misiorowski has recorded nine or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances at American Family Field.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Jacob Misiorowski has recorded a win in seven of his last nine appearances.
• Jacob Misiorowski ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (1.62) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Alvarez has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games against NL Central opponents.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in eight of his last 10 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Brett Baty has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances.
• Juan Soto ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.552) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (416).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (416).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.304).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.304).

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Peralta should be motivated in his return to Milwaukee, but in his last 13 innings, he’s allowed 16 hits and 8 earned runs. The Mets also aren’t a team you should be excited to back for obvious reasons. The Brewers continue to win at a fabulous rate, and Misiorowski is arguably the best arm in baseball with a 1.62 ERA and 0.76 WHIP through 111 innings. At home through 62.1 innings, Misiorowski has a 1.59 ERA and a .153 allowed batting average. It’s a Cy Young-caliber season from the 24-year-old Misiorowski. Give me the Brewers and the RL for max betting value.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5