New York Mets vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 07/12/2025 Picks

The New York Mets and Kansas City Royals meet Saturday in MLB action at Kauffman Stadium. Here’s a New York Mets vs Kansas City Royals Prediction. This article will include a New York Mets vs Kansas City Royals Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 54-41 on the year and play the Reds, Angels, and Giants next. The New York Mets are batting .244 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .416 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the New York Mets with 100 hits and 77 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 187 hits and 107 RBI. 

Frankie Montas gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 1-1 with a 6.14 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. Montas is 3-2 with a 3.31 ERA and 25 strikeouts in his career against the Kansas City Royals.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 46-49 on the year and play the Marlins, Cubs, and Guardians next. The Kansas City Royals are batting .245 on the season, have a .300 OBP, and a .376 slugging percentage. The Kansas City Royals pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals with 111 hits and 54 RBI while Maikel Garcia and Vinnie Pasquantino have combined for 202 hits and 96 RBI.

Michael Lorenzen gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 5-8 with a 4.61 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. Lorenzen is 2-1 with a 2.61 ERA and 26 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

The Mets have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against American League opponents following a road win.
The Royals have won four of their last five games as underdogs following a loss.
The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against National League opponents following a loss.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine Saturday day games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the New York Mets will win

The Royals have lost 10 of their last 11 games at Kauffman Stadium against teams that held a winning record.
The Mets have won each of their last four day games against AL Central opponents following a road win.
The Mets have covered the run line in six of their last seven road games against AL Central opponents.
The Royals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in each of the Royals’ last two home games against the Mets.
Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.
Michael Lorenzen has recorded four or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances with the Royals as underdogs.
Salvador Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 6th in the league in Steals (25) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Juan Soto has hit a home run in five of his last six road appearances against AL Central opponents.
Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Nick Madrigal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances against AL Central opponents.
Juan Soto ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (22) this season.

New York Mets vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

You can make a case for the Mets when they’re playing well, but Montas is hard to trust, as he’s still working his way back in the mix and has allowed 15 hits and 10 runs in 14.2 innings. The Royals have quietly played great ball over the last two weeks, and Lorenzen has allowed eight hits and three runs in his last 11.2 innings. In 35.2 home innings, Lorenzen has a 3.79 ERA and .259 allowed batting average. The Royals are in good form, at home, and they have the more trustworthy pitcher on the bump. Give me the Royals.