New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 8/10/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Braves Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, August 10th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 71-47 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL East. They have a 39-20 home record and are coming off a 2-1 road win against the Yankees. They will face the Dbacks and the Twins next.

The Atlanta Braves have a .249 batting average this season, .313 OBP and .419 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.60 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .291 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 72, adding a team-high 34 home runs.

Bryce Elder (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has an 8-6 record, 3.69 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.

New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets have a 52-67 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 27-33 away record and are coming off an 11-1 road win against the Pirates. They will face the Nationals and the Padres next.

The New York Mets have a .235 batting average this season, .306 OBP and .387 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Carson Benge is the team’s best hitter with a .272 batting average. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 59, while Juan Soto adds a team-high 21 home runs.

Christian Scott (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 3-3 record, 3.15 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.

New York Mets @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: August 10, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryce Elder      Record this season: 8-6      ERA: 3.69
• Home Record: 6-2
• Last 5 against Mets: 2-1

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last nine home games.
• The Mets have lost 12 of their last 15 road games against NL East opponents following a road win.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven games following a win.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Truist Park.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home games.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last six home games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Christian Scott      Record this season: 3-3      ERA: 3.15
• Road Record: 2-2
• Last 5 against Braves: 0-3

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Braves have lost each of their last eight games after going to extra innings.
• The Mets have won five of their last six games as underdogs.
• The road team has covered the run line in eight of the Mets’ last nine games.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games after going to extra innings.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last six games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Braves’ last six home games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Christian Scott’s last eight road appearances as a starter.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Braves’ last seven games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in each of the Braves’ last three home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Bryce Elder has recorded six strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against the Mets.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 24 home appearances against the Mets.
• Bryce Elder has recorded a win in each of his last seven Monday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• Matt Olson ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.552) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Marcus Semien has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.
• Christian Scott has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
• Brett Baty has recorded at least one hit in each of his 12 previous appearances at Truist Park against opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (9).
• The Braves rank 28th in the league for walks this season (346).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (149).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.306).

Mets vs Braves Prediction

The Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Braves and have won their last two visits in Atlanta.

In this Mets vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -143 home favorites. I like the Braves in this one, as they are back home where they are 11-1 in their last 12 games and Bryce Elder has been in excellent form. He has given up just one run in each of his last three starts and has been better at home, while Christian Scott has given up 3 runs in two of his last three starts for the Mets. The Braves have a better offense and a better bullpen this season and I expect them to get the job done at home in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Atlanta Braves ML