Nationals vs Marlins Prediction 9/11/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, September 11th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 60-85 this year after they won two of the first three games in this series by scores of 15-7, 7-5, and 3-8. In their game three loss, Washington led 3-0 in the sixth inning, but their pitching fell apart for the tough loss. The Nationals recorded 10 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Lile, Garcia Jr, and Hassell III, who all had one RBI in the loss. Washington started Irvin, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Rutledge allowed three earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Cubs and all three against the Marlins. Washington has won seven of their last nine games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.30 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .267 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 626 runs with a .245 batting average and a .309 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 27 home runs and 88 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 20 home runs and 58 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is MacKenzie Gore, who is 5-13 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 147.1 innings pitched this year. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 67-79 this season after they won game three by a score of 8-3 on Wednesday. Miami scored four runs in the sixth inning to take the lead and added more in the seventh and eighth in the victory. The Marlins recorded 13 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Edwards, who went 3-5 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Miami started Perez, who allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Bachar got the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Phillies and all three against the Nationals. Miami has lost seven of their last nine games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.78 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 636 runs with a .250 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers (IL) has led Miami with 25 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 19 home runs and 62 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Ryan Weathers, who is 1-1 with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 24.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Marlins will beat the Nationals 

The Nationals have lost each of their last five night games following a road loss.
The Marlins have won five of their last six night games against the Nationals at LoanDepot Park following a home win.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games following a road loss.

Why the Nationals will beat the Marlins

The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine night games following a win.
The Nationals have won six of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games following a win.
The Nationals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
The Nationals have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

Seven of the Marlins’ last eight night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Nationals’ last four road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Nationals’ last eight night games at LoanDepot Park.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last six Thursday games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

Kyle Stowers has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against the Nationals at LoanDepot Park.
Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of his last seven appearances at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

Josh Bell has hit at least one home run in three of the Nationals’ last four road games.
CJ Abrams has recorded at least one Double in four of the Nationals’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Nationals vs Marlins Prediction 

Washington had their winning streak snapped on Wednesday night in game three of this series, but they have scored at least six runs in three of their last four games. The Nationals are 31-43 on the road this year, while the Marlins are 33-41 at home. Miami has had issues with their pitching staff and they are starting Weathers, who has been on the IL since early June. Washington is going with Gore, who is also coming off of the IL and has struggled in his last 7-8 starts. Take the over here.