MLB Player Prop Picks (National Leauge Pitchers) 9/10/2025 Today’s MLB Picks

Andrew Abbott Over 4.5 K’s

Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres 9:40 PM EST

Andrew Abbott has been one of the Cincinnati Reds’ most reliable starters in 2025, delivering consistency and poise throughout the season. Across 25 starts, he has put together an 8–6 record with a 2.88 ERA, striking out 130 batters in 143.2 innings while keeping a strong 1.15 WHIP. Advanced metrics highlight how he has limited damage, holding opponents to an 87.7 mph average exit velocity and a 34% hard-hit rate, with his actual .288 wOBA allowed outperforming his .303 xwOBA. Abbott has cleared his strikeout line each of his last 5 starts, and I like this spot for him pitching in Petco Park, which is a pitcher-friendly ballpark. 

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Christopher Sanchez Over 5.5 K’s

New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies 6:45 PM EST

Cristopher Sánchez has been a standout in the Phillies’ rotation in 2025, compiling a stellar 12–5 record with a 2.60 ERA over 28 starts, ranking tied for 15th in wins and sixth-best in ERA across the majors. He has logged 186 strikeouts, placing ninth in the league. Sanchez has logged 6+ strikeouts in 3 of his last 5 starts. We saw him log 12 strikeouts back on 8/19 against the Mariners, so he is fully capable of hitting over this number. We saw the Mets struggle in game 1 against a struggling Aaron Nola. Christopher Sanchez should deal in this matchup.

Paul Skenes Under 1.5 Earned Runs

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Baltimore Orioles 6:35 PM EST

Paul Skenes continues to assert himself as one of baseball’s most dominant pitchers. Over the course of 29 starts, he boasts a 10–9 record despite being one of the most consistently excellent pitchers in the league. He comes into this one with a league-best 1.98 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and 195 strikeouts across 173 innings pitched. He’s been lights out over his last 3 starts, only allowing 1 earned run in that span. The Orioles have recently been involved in a lot of low-scoring games, and I expect Skenes to continue his success.