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MLB Player Prop Picks (National League Pitchers) 9/17/2025 Today’s MLB Picks
Pick details
Chicago (86-64) vs Pittsburgh (65-86)
September 17, 2025 at 12:35 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Pittsburgh +1.5 — Over/Under: +8
Matthew Boyd Under 2.5 Earned Runs
Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates 6:40 PM EST
Matthew Boyd has enjoyed a strong revival in 2025, reestablishing himself as a reliable starter for the Cubs. He made 29 starts, going 13-8 with a 3.05 ERA over 171.1 innings pitched, striking out 146 batters and maintaining a 1.07 WHIP. Looking at Matthew Boyd’s numbers as of late, you might be nervous about taking this under, but I love him to bounce back in this spot. We’ve seen Boyd have success against this Pirates lineup, and when looking at the Pirates’ batting splits, they’ve been far worse against left-handed pitching than right-handed pitching.Â
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Nick Pivetta Under 2.5 Earned Runs
San Diego Padres vs New York Mets 7:10 PM EST
Nick Pivetta has had a strong 2025 season as a starter for the San Diego Padres, compiling a 13‑5 record with a 2.73 ERA over 171.1 innings pitched. He has struck out 180 batters while maintaining an excellent 0.95 WHIP, which ranks at the top of the MLB. Over multiple stretches this season, he has delivered starts allowing only one run or fewer. Even with the Mets having a strong night on Tuesday when it comes to a hitting perspective, I still can’t trust this team at this moment. Pivetta has been quietly one of the best guys in this Padres rotation, and I’m looking to back him again in this spot.Â
Hurston Waldrep Under 16.5 Outs
Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals 6:45 PM EST
Hurston Waldrep has delivered a promising performance in his rookie MLB season with the Atlanta Braves. He comes into this one with a 4–1 record with a 2.78 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 45.1 innings pitched. In his most recent outing on September 12 against the Houston Astros, Waldrep allowed eight runs on eight hits and two walks over 4.2 innings, marking his first challenging start in seven appearances. Hurston has failed to log over 16 outs in 3 of his last 4 starts. Atlanta seems to have a short leash on the rookie when things get tough, and I can see this Nationals team giving him trouble early.
Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates 6:40 PM EST
Matthew Boyd has enjoyed a strong revival in 2025, reestablishing himself as a reliable starter for the Cubs. He made 29 starts, going 13-8 with a 3.05 ERA over 171.1 innings pitched, striking out 146 batters and maintaining a 1.07 WHIP. Looking at Matthew Boyd’s numbers as of late, you might be nervous about taking this under, but I love him to bounce back in this spot. We’ve seen Boyd have success against this Pirates lineup, and when looking at the Pirates’ batting splits, they’ve been far worse against left-handed pitching than right-handed pitching.Â
Check out Brad’s BEST PICKS, including his $19 PICK OF THE DAY!
Nick Pivetta Under 2.5 Earned Runs
San Diego Padres vs New York Mets 7:10 PM EST
Nick Pivetta has had a strong 2025 season as a starter for the San Diego Padres, compiling a 13‑5 record with a 2.73 ERA over 171.1 innings pitched. He has struck out 180 batters while maintaining an excellent 0.95 WHIP, which ranks at the top of the MLB. Over multiple stretches this season, he has delivered starts allowing only one run or fewer. Even with the Mets having a strong night on Tuesday when it comes to a hitting perspective, I still can’t trust this team at this moment. Pivetta has been quietly one of the best guys in this Padres rotation, and I’m looking to back him again in this spot.Â
Hurston Waldrep Under 16.5 Outs
Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals 6:45 PM EST
Hurston Waldrep has delivered a promising performance in his rookie MLB season with the Atlanta Braves. He comes into this one with a 4–1 record with a 2.78 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 45.1 innings pitched. In his most recent outing on September 12 against the Houston Astros, Waldrep allowed eight runs on eight hits and two walks over 4.2 innings, marking his first challenging start in seven appearances. Hurston has failed to log over 16 outs in 3 of his last 4 starts. Atlanta seems to have a short leash on the rookie when things get tough, and I can see this Nationals team giving him trouble early.
