MLB Player Prop Picks 6/8/25 MLB Picks (National League Pitchers)

Aaron Civale Under 4.5 K’s

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres 1:05 PM EST

Aaron Civale has made 4 starts for the Milwaukee Brewers, posting a 1–1 record with a 5.19 ERA over 17.1 innings, accompanied by 14 strikeouts and a 1.33 WHIP. His performance sits in the mid-100s percentile among MLB pitchers. Civale is way past his prime, and at this point in his career, he’s not a guy I’m looking to back. I especially think he struggles in this one, going against a strong lineup like the Padres. We’ve seen this Padres team exploit some of the softer pitchers in the league. I don’t think Civale goes long enough in this game for him to cover this line. 

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Sandy Alcantara Over 2.5 Earned Runs

Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays 12:10 PM EST

Sandy Alcántara—the Miami Marlins’ former Cy Young winner—has endured a difficult season, struggling to regain form following Tommy John surgery. Over 12 starts and 57 innings, he carries a disappointing 2–7 record alongside a lofty 7.89 ERA, the highest among qualifying starters. He’s allowed a league-high 50 earned runs, surrendered 60 hits, walked 30 batters, and struck out just 44. I don’t see this being the start that Alcantara magically getting it together. The Rays have consistently improved at the plate as the season has gone on. It also looks like there’s wind facing the outfield out in Tampa on Sunday. 

Christopher Sanchez Under 2.5 Earned Runs

Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates 1:35 PM EST

Cristopher Sánchez has been one of the most consistent starters in the Phillies’ rotation. Over 12 starts and 65⅔ innings, he holds a 5–1 record with a 3.15 ERA, accompanied by 74 strikeouts, 26 walks, and a WHIP of 1.31. His pitch arsenal (primarily sinker, changeup, slider) has kept him effective, with 29.9 % swing-and‑miss rate. He has a great matchup going against the Pirates, who rank in the bottom 5 in almost every offensive category in the MLB. It also looks like their winds are facing the infield in Pittsburgh on Sunday. There’s a reason why this game has the lowest total on the board.

Brad Francis's Pick: See Above