MLB Player Prop Picks 8/12/2025 Today’s MLB Picks (American League Pitchers)

Michael Wacha Under 2.5 Earned Runs

Kansas City Royals vs Washington Nationals 7:40 PM EST

Michael Wacha has been a steady presence in the Kansas City Royals’ rotation during the 2025 season, making 21 starts and posting a 4–9 record with a 3.53 ERA over 117.1 innings pitched. He has allowed 108 hits, 35 walks, and 11 home runs while striking out 90 batters, resulting in a 1.22 WHIP. His strikeout rate translates to roughly 6.9 K/9, with 2.68 walks per nine innings, giving him a K/BB ratio of about 2.57. Advanced metrics, including a FIP around 3.74, suggest that his performance has been better than his win–loss record might indicate, as run support has often been limited. We’ve seen Wacha allow 2 or fewer runs in each of his last 6 starts. He has become one of the Royals’ most reliable starters, and I don’t see the Nationals being the team to slow him down in this one. 

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Jacob Lopez Over 5.5 K’s

Tampa Bay Rays vs Athletics 10:05 PM EST

Jacob Lopez has been a dependable starter for the Oakland Athletics, making 17 appearances and pitching 70.0 innings. He posted a 4–6 record with a 3.99 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP, striking out 84 batters for an impressive 27.3% strikeout rate while walking 30 hitters for a 9.7% walk rate. His advanced metrics, including a 3.91 xERA and 4.37 FIP, closely matched his actual ERA, suggesting his results accurately reflected his underlying performance. He’s coming off a fantastic start in his last outing, recording 10 strikeouts against the Nationals, and has recorded 5+ strikeouts in 3 of his last 5 games. He has a favorable matchup going against the Tampa Bay Rays, who’ve been terrible against left-handed pitching this season. 

Deam Kremer Over 2.5 Earned Runs

Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles 6:35 PM EST

Over 22 starts and 132.1 innings pitched, Kremer holds an 8-8 record with a 4.35 ERA and a WHIP of 1.22. Kremer has struck out 110 batters while issuing 35 walks, resulting in a respectable strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.14. He faces tough competition, with opponents batting .297 against him and allowing 18 home runs so far. Advanced metrics show a FIP of 4.49 and an expected ERA (xERA) of 4.03, indicating that his performance is fairly in line with expectations. Limiting hard contact and home runs remains an area for improvement, and with Kremer pitching against this Mariners lineup, I can see this being a difficult start for him.