MLB Player Prop Picks 07/19/2025 Picks (National League Pitchers)

Nick Martinez Under 4.5 K’s
Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets 7:10 PM EST

Nick Martinez has made 21 appearances (19 starts) this season, posting a 7–9 record, a 4.78 ERA, and a 1.21 WHIP across 111.0 innings, while recording 76 strikeouts. Martinez isn’t known for his strikeout abilities and allows a lot of contact. He’s only recorded 5+ strikeouts in 1 of his last 7 starts. I don’t think this is the game where he explodes when it comes to a strikeout perspective. The Mets have been pesky at the plate when playing at Citi Field, and they’ve also been strong against right-handed pitching. Expect Martinez’s strikeout woes to continue in this one. 

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Freddy Peralta Over 6.5 K’s
Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers 10:10 PM EST

Freddy Peralta has emerged as one of the best starters in the National League during the 2025 season for the Milwaukee Brewers. Over 20 starts and 111.2 innings, he owns an impressive 11–4 record with a 2.66 ERA and a stingy 1.06 WHIP, tied for the league lead in wins while ranking 13th in ERA and 16th in WHIP. During this Brewers season resurgence, we’ve seen Peralta play a big part in it. His strikeout abilities have been off the charts, with him clearing his strikeout line in each of his last 5 starts. I understand it might be tough to back him going against a lineup like the Dodgers, but we saw this Dodgers lineup struggle to finish out the first half of the season. I’m willing to back Peralta once again. 

Mike Burrows Under 2.5 Earned Runs
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago White Sox 6:40 PM EST

Mike Burrows has made 10 MLB appearances (9 starts) this year, going 1–3 with a 4.83 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 41.0 innings, while striking out 42 batters and issuing 17 walks. His control has been variable – a 1.46 WHIP and a 4.83 ERA indicate room for growth, though he’s managed a steady strikeout rate (9.2 K/9). He’s coming off one of his most challenging starts of the season, allowing 6 earned runs against the Minnesota Twins. Before that start, we did see him have 3 straight outings where he allowed no more than 1 run in 3 straight starts. I like him to bounce back after that tough outing against the Twins. He’ll be up against the White Sox, who’ve been terrible at the plate away from Chicago this season. 

Brad Francis's Pick: See Above