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MLB Player Prop Picks 07/02/2025 Picks (National League Pitchers)
Pick details
Milwaukee (47-37) vs New York (48-37)
July 2, 2025 at 07:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: New York 0.0001 — Over/Under: +8.5
Jacob Misiorowski Over 5.5 K’s
Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets 7:10 PM EST
Jacob Misiorowski has burst onto the scene in 2025 as one of the most electrifying young pitchers in baseball. Before joining the Milwaukee Brewers, he dominated Triple-A with the Nashville Sounds. Since his MLB debut on June 12, Misiorowski has been sensational. In just three starts, he’s posted a perfect 3–0 record with a 1.13 ERA and 0.63 WHIP, tallying 19 strikeouts and only 7 walks in 16 innings. From an analytical standpoint, Misiorowski’s repertoire is elite. His fastball averages just under 100 mph with top-tier spin and effectiveness. His slider and curveball both generate high whiff rates as well. We’ve see
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Shota Imanaga Under 1.5 Earned Runs
Chicago Cubs vs Cleveland Guardians 8:05 PM EST
Shota Imanaga has made 9 starts, posting a 4–2 record with a 2.54 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, and 49⅔ innings pitched, during which he’s struck out 37 batters and walked 15. Splits show he’s particularly effective against left-handed batters, holding them to a 1.48 ERA with a .156 batting average. He has a great matchup going against the Guardians, who’ve been terrible at the plate this season and are one of the worst lineups against left-handed pitchers. I expect Imanaga to deal with this one.
Simeon Woods Richardson Over 2.5 Earned Runs
Minnesota Twins vs Miami Marlins 6:40 PM EST
Simeon has appeared in 12 games (11 starts), posting a 3–4 record with a 4.63 ERA across 58.1 innings, accompanied by a 1.39 WHIP, 52 strikeouts, and 22 walks. His strikeout rate sits at a modest 8.0 K/9, with a walk rate of 3.4 BB/9, and he’s given up 8 home runs. When it comes to his splits, he’s been effective against right-handed hitters, posting a 2.24 ERA over 20.1 innings with a .250 BAA, but struggled against lefties, surrendering a 5.92 ERA and .342 batting average over 17.1 innings. The Marlins are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now, and I expect them to exploit Richardson’s recent struggles.
