Logan Gilbert Over 6.5 K’s
Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers 8:05 PM EST

Logan Gilbert has been a standout presence in the Seattle Mariners’ rotation through his first six starts of the 2025 MLB season. Going 1–1 with a dominant 2.37 ERA and an impressive 0.79 WHIP across 30.1 innings, he’s allowed just 18 hits, 8 earned runs, and 3 home runs, while striking out 44 and issuing only 6 walks. Gilbert’s strikeout percentage this season has surged to 37.6%. Gilbert has logged 7+ strikeouts in 4 of his last 6 outings, highlighted by a 10 K game against the Red Sox and a 9 K game against the Blue Jays. He has another favorable matchup in this one, going against the Rangers, who rank in the bottom 10 in almost every major offensive category. 

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Noah Cameron Under 3.5 K’s
Kansas City Royals vs Los Angeles Dodgers 8:10 PM EST

Noah Cameron has made an impressive debut in the 2025 MLB season for the Kansas City Royals, quickly emerging as one of the most intriguing young arms in their rotation. The 25-year-old left-hander was called up at the end of April and immediately made headlines in his MLB debut on April 30, taking a no-hitter into the seventh inning against the Tampa Bay Rays and earning a 3–0 victory. I love Noah Cameron, but his success on the mound hasn’t been from his strikeout abilities. He’s coming off a game where he recorded just 2 K’s against the Padres, and now he has his toughest opponent yet in pitching against the Dodgers. There’s a reason why his strikeout line is so low for this game.

Ryan Pepiot Over 5.5 K’s
Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles 7:05 PM EST

Ryan Pepiot has been a dependable mid-rotation starter for the Tampa Bay Rays in 2025, making 16 starts and working 94.2 innings with a 5–6 record, 3.04 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and 91 strikeouts, a strong showing that places him among the better pitchers in several key metrics. His strikeouts have come at an impressive 8.7 K/9, while his walk management remains solid at around 2.7 BB/9. Game logs show that Pepiot has been consistently reliable, regularly completing 6 or more innings; highlights include an 8.0-inning, 11-strikeout shutout on June 16 against the Baltimore Orioles. He’ll be up against that same Orioles lineup in this one, and if he can log 11 strikeouts just 11 days ago, I expect him to at least get 6 in this one.

Brad Francis's Pick: See Above