Pick details
| MATCHUP | Minnesota Twins | Washington Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 16-20 | 16-20 |
| Spread | -1.5 119 | +1.5 -143 |
| Moneyline | -136 | +113 |
| Total | Over 9.5 (-105) | Under 9.5 (-115) |
| Where | Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia | |
| When | Wednesday, May 6, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:45 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN Unlmtd | |
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 16-20 on the year and play the Marlins and Guardians next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .236 on the season and have a .328 OBP, and a .384 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 4.41 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Minnesota Twins with 35 hits and 17 RBI, while Luke Keaschall and Brooks Lee have combined for 61 hits and 36 RBI.
Bailey Ober gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 3-1 with a 3.55 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. This will be Ober’s second career game against the Washington Nationals.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 16-20 on the year and play the Marlins and Reds next. The Washington Nationals are batting .237 on the season and have a .317 OBP, and a .380 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals pitching staff has a 4.90 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. Daylen Lile leads the Washington Nationals with 35 hits and 14 RBI while James Wood and CJ Abrams have combined for 67 hits and 53 RBI.
Miles Mikolas gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 0-3 with an 8.23 ERA and 19 strikeouts this season. Mikolas is 0-1 with a 3.09 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Twins have lost 11 of their last 12 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Nationals have won five of their last seven games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games following a loss.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Nationals have lost 10 of their last 11 night games against American League opponents.
- The road team has won five of the last six games between the Twins and Nationals.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The road team has covered the run line in 10 of the Nationals’ last 12 games.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Nationals Park against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Twins’ last seven games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Nationals’ last six night games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Nationals’ last eight home games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Twins’ last six games against National League opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in eight of the Nationals’ last 30 games as underdogs.
- Miles Mikolas has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Luis Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last four appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against the Twins.
- Miles Mikolas has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- James Wood ranks T10th in the league in Home Runs (10) this season.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last five night games.
- Bailey Ober has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
- Bailey Ober has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in night games.
- Victor Caratini has recorded at least one hit in five of his six previous appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Nationals.
- Luke Keaschall ranks T10th in the league in Steals (8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nationals rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (4.90).
- The Nationals rank 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (272).
- The Twins rank T26th in the league for doubles this season (48).
- The Twins rank T25th in the league for strikeouts this season (276).
Minnesota Twins vs Washington Nationals Prediction
The Nationals are quiet offensively this week, scoring 3 or fewer runs in each of their last 4 games. That’s not going to cut it with Mikolas on the mound given his 8.23 ERA and 1.72 WHIP in 27.1 innings. Ober has a 3.18 ERA in his last 34 innings with 28 strikeouts. It’s hard to get behind the Nationals in this spot, as Mikolas looks like a shell of himself these days. Give me the Twins and the better pitcher on the bump.
