Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 07/09/2025 Picks

The Chicago Cubs and the Minnesota Twins meet Wednesday in MLB action from Target Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs. Minnesota Twins prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Chicago Cubs will start Cade Horton here and Horton is 3-2 with a 4.15 ERA and 38 strikeouts this season. This will be Horton’s first career start against the Twins. The Minnesota Twins will trot out David Festa for the start here and Festa is 2-3 with a 5.48 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. This will be Festa’s second career start against the Cubs.

Chicago Cubs Recap

The Chicago Cubs come into this game looking to bounce back from an 8-1 loss at the hands of the Twins on Tuesday to sit at 54-37 on the year. After this series, the Cubs will head on the road for a series against the Yankees.

Cubs Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight

Ian Happ has 75 hits with 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 45 RBIs. Kyle Tucker has 95 hits including 18 doubles, 4 triples, 17 home runs and 55 RBIs while Seiya Suzuki also has 91 hits with 22 doubles and 25 home runs and 77 RBIs of his own. Miguel Amaya’s added 9 doubles and 25 RBIs and Pete Crow-Armstrong also has contributed 95 hits, 20 doubles, 4 triples, 23 home runs and 67 RBIs as well this season. Dansby Swanson has added 15 home runs and 42 RBIs, while also having 99 strikeouts and Suzuki has a team-high 102 strikeouts so far this season. Crow-Armstrong also has a team-high 27 stolen bases while Nico Hoerner has 16 stolen bases this season. Tucker’s also added 22 stolen bases while Michael Busch has also chipped in 15 doubles, 3 triples, 18 home runs and 56 RBIs this season.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

The Cubs have won each of their last nine games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a loss.
The Twins have lost each of their last five home games against NL Central opponents following a win.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a loss.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at Target Field against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Justin Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL opponents.
Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (27) this season.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to build on their win over the Cubs from Tuesday to sit at 44-47 on the year. After this series, the Twins will take on the Pirates in another interleague home series.

Twins Win 4 Of Their Last 6

Byron Buxton has 76 hits along with 11 doubles, a team-high 20 home runs and 53 RBIs with 16 stolen bases and 3 triples while Carlos Correa has 73 hits with 14 doubles and Willi Castro has 62 hits with 13 doubles as well. Harrison Bader’s added 10 home runs and 32 RBIs while Buxton’s contributed a team-high 85 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 79 hits, 15 doubles, 6 home runs and 42 RBIs and Trevor Larnach’s chipped in 80 hits with 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 39 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

The Twins have won each of their last five games as underdogs following a home win.
The Cubs have lost six of their last seven road games against AL Central opponents.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Twins’ last seven games.
The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a losing record.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in three of the Twins’ last four games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Twins as home underdogs.
Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six appearances with the Twins as home underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Cubs’ last six road games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Twins’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Chicago Cubs vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction

I’m backing the Twins here. The Cubs didn’t look great in Tuesday’s matchup, and the Twins can be a very streaky team from top to bottom and I think this is one of those spots where the Twins start to heat up. Festa’s best work this season has come at home and I don’t know if Horton is ready for this level of play even for being a highly regarded prospect in this Cubs system. I’ll back Minnesota in this one.