In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 1, at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers (47-37, 20-20 Away) are unbeaten in their last five series. Most recently, they beat the Pittsburgh Pirates and Colorado Rockies at home, and although they were close to sweeping the Rox, the Brewers fell short in extra innings in Game 3. Chad Patrick pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing no runs on four hits with eight strikeouts and two walks. Grant Anderson took the loss.

This year, the Brewers average 4.73 runs per game (8th in the MLB) on a .247/.322/.380 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Brewers’ staff has a 3.77 ERA (13th) and 1.29 WHIP (18th). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with a .262 batting average, 16 home runs, and 60 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Brewers is Freddy Peralta, who is 8-4 in 17 starts this season, with a 2.90 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 93.0 innings.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets (48-37, 29-12 Home) are without a win in their previous five series, and following a split with the Atlanta Braves, when they fought back from a 2-0 deficit to earn a split, the Mets disappointed against the Pittsburgh Pirates. For the third time this season, the Mets were swept, and all three sweeps occurred in June. In three games, New York scored just four runs and allowed 20 to one of the weakest offenses in the MLB. In the latest 12-1 defeat (a season-high 12 runs allowed), Frankie Montas took the loss after allowing six runs on seven hits with five strikeouts and one walk.

This season, the Mets average 4.33 runs per game (17th in the MLB) on a .245/.323/.417 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 3.46 ERA (4th) and 1.30 WHIP (19th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .291 batting average, 18 home runs, and 65 RBI this season.

Clay Holmes will take the mound for the Mets on Tuesday. The 32-year-old right-hander has an 8-4 record in 16 starts this year with a 2.97 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 88.0 innings.

Total Runs Facts

Five of the Mets’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Brewers’ last three night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last seven games at Citi Field.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last six games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Mets rank 4th in the league for ERA this season (3.46).
The Mets rank 6th in the league for walks this season (294).
The Brewers rank 23rd in the league for doubles this season (121).
The Brewers rank 23rd in the league for walks allowed this season (291).

Brewers vs Mets Prediction

The Brewers won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Mets won three of the last four duels. The Mets are going through their worst period of the season, but I will stay away from betting on the winner here, so I’ll go with the Under. Clay Holmes didn’t allow more than three runs in his previous seven starts, while he posted a 2.93 ERA in June. Freddy Peralta, on the other hand, hasn’t surrendered more than three runs in his last eight starts, and I am backing both starters to get quality starts here. Milwaukee is 33-48, while New York is 36-46 in Over/Under this season. Go with Under.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Under 8.5