Jul 19, 2025; Los Angeles, California, USA; Milwaukee Brewers right fielder Jackson Chourio (11) hits a single against the Los Angeles Dodgers during the seventh inning at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images

Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction 07/25/2025 Picks

Pick details

Miami (48-53) vs Milwaukee (61-41)

July 25, 2025 at 04:10 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee -225 — Over/Under: +8

(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Friday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will send out Cal Quantrill for the start here and is 3-8 with a 5.24 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season. In his career, Quantrill is 0-0 with a 4.15 ERA and 8 strikeouts against Milwaukee. Freddy Peralta will get the start for the Brewers here and is 12-4 with a 2.85 ERA and 122 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Marlins, Peralta is 1-3 with a 3.16 ERA and 28 strikeouts.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to add on to their 3-2 win over the San Diego Padres last time out to sit at 48-53 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the St. Louis Cardinals.

Marlins Win Back-To-Back Games & 6 Of Their Last 8 Games

Xavier Edwards has 100 hits including 16 doubles and a team-high 17 stolen bases while Eric Wagaman has 78 hits with 20 doubles. Otto Lopez has 79 hits with 11 doubles and 11 home runs with 52 RBIs. Kyle Stowers has 96 hits with 16 doubles, 3 triples, 22 home runs and 61 RBIs but also has 104 strikeouts so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 14 home runs, 22 doubles and 45 RBIs and Jesus Sanchez has chipped in 34 RBIs as well on the year.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Brewers have lost each of their last six games as favorites following a road win.
  • The Marlins have won 10 of their last 11 games as road underdogs following a win.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites following a road win.
  • The road team has covered the run line in each of the Brewers’ last six games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Otto Lopez has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games as road underdogs.
  • Cal Quantrill has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kyle Stowers ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.566) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to build on their 10-2 win over the Seattle Mariners last time out to sit at 61-51 on the year. After this series, the Brewers will take on the Chicago Cubs at home.

Brewers Continue Their Roll

Brice Turang has 103 hits with 6 home runs, 42 RBIs and 18 stolen bases while Jackson Chourio has 115 hits with a team-high 26 doubles, 16 stolen bases, 16 home runs and 65 RBIs and Sal Frelick has 101 hits as well as 3 triples, 7 home runs, 39 RBIs and 17 stolen bases so far this season. Christian Yelich also has 15 stolen bases with 19 homers and 66 RBIs while also adding 11 doubles. Yelich also has a team-high 111 strikeouts up to this point in the year. William Contreras has 6 homers and 42 RBIs as well this season. Rhys Hoskins has added 65 hits with 12 home runs, 42 RBIs and 12 doubles.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Brewers have won each of their last 10 games against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have lost each of their last five road games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents following a win.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Brewers as favorites against the Marlins.
  • Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in each of his last seven appearances.
  • Freddy Peralta ranks 1st in the league for Wins (12) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Marlins’ last six day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Brewers’ last four home games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.

Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

I’m on the Brewers here. I get that the plus money is tempting considering that the Marlins have been competitive in spots and Cal Quantrill has been able to keep the Marlins in a lot of his starts. However, the Brewers are still white hot, Freddy Peralta’s been strong at home, and I just think that it’s hard to go against him in his current form. The Brewers should be able to keep it rolling here so give me Milwaukee in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Milwaukee -1.5

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