In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 6, at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers (49-40, 22-23 Away) won three straight series after defeating the Minnesota Twins (sweep), Pittsburgh Pirates, and Colorado Rockies. Milwaukee lost to the New York Mets and opened the current series against the Marlins with a win, but lost Game 2, 4-2 on Saturday. Chad Patrick pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on four hits with two strikeouts and one walk. Nick Mears took the loss.

This season, the Brewers average 4.72 runs per game (8th in the MLB) on a .246/.322/.382 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Brewers’ staff has a 3.79 ERA (14th) and 1.28 WHIP (18th). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with a .260 batting average, 17 home runs, and 61 RBI this season.

Brandon Woodruff will take the mound for the Brewers on Sunday. The 32-year-old right-hander will start his first game in two years.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins (40-47, 20-26 Home) were on an eight-game winning streak, beating the likes of the San Francisco Giants, Arizona Diamondbacks (both sweeps), and Minnesota Twins in the process. Miami fell short of the Brewers in Game 1, but responded with a 4-2 victory in Game 2 last night. Agustin Ramirez led the Marlins with two RBI, while Cal Quantrill pitched for 3.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on six hits with six strikeouts and one walk. Ronny Henriquez was credited with the win.

This year, the Marlins average 4.24 runs per game (18th in the MLB) on a .254/.316/.391 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Marlins’ staff has a 4.76 ERA (25th) and 1.35 WHIP (23rd). Kyle Stowers leads the Marlins with a .283 batting average, 16 home runs, and 46 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Marlins is Edward Cabrera, who is 3-2 in 14 starts this season, with a 3.41 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 71.1 innings.

Why the Marlins will beat the Brewers

The Marlins have won each of their last six day games after playing the previous day.
The Brewers have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as underdogs.
The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Brewers’ last four day games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Six of the Marlins’ last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last six Sunday day games against NL East opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Marlins’ last seven games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

The Marlins rank T5th in the league for triples this season (15).
The Marlins rank 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.73).
The Brewers rank 8th in the league for runs scored this season (417).
The Brewers rank 23rd in the league for doubles this season (129).

Brewers vs Marlins Prediction

The Marlins won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last six. Even though the Brewers are the favorites in this one, I am backing the Marlins to win because I expect Brandon Woodruff to struggle in his first start in two years. Don’t get me wrong, Woodruff is an excellent pitcher, but I think he will be rusty after a lengthy absence due to injury. I am not sure how many innings he’ll give on Sunday, but I am backing the Marlins to give him a hard time on the mound. Edward Cabrera, on the other hand, has been excellent recently; he hasn’t allowed more than two runs in his last seven strikeouts. Cabrera is currently Miami’s best starter, and I am backing him to get a quality start here. Go with the Marlins.

Oliver Zivic's Pick: Marlins ML