Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 6/14/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Marlins vs Pirates Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, June 14th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Pittsburgh Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 36-35 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL Central. They have a 20-18 home record and are coming off a 3-2 home win against the Marlins. They will face the Athletics and the Rockies next.

The Pirates have a .253 batting average this season, .335 OBP and .403 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .296 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI with 46, adding a team-high 17 home runs.

Paul Skenes (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 6-5 record, 2.84 ERA and 0.93 WHIP.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 35-36 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL East. They have a 12-20 road record and are coming off a 2-3 road defeat against the Pirates. They will face the Phillies and the Giants next.

The Marlins have a .246 batting average this season, .323 OBP and .382 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .345 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 51, adding a team-high 13 home runs.

Max Meyer (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 6-0 record, 2.85 ERA and 1.09 WHIP.

Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: June 14, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Paul Skenes      Record this season: 6-5      ERA: 2.84
• Home Record: 3-3
• Last 5 against Marlins: 1-0

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Pirates have won seven of their last eight day games following a win.
• The Marlins have lost each of their last four day games against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Pirates following a loss.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Marlins following a home win.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games at PNC Park.
• The Pirates have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Meyer      Record this season: 6-0      ERA: 2.85
• Road Record: 2-0
• Last 5 against Pirates: 0-0

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Pirates have lost each of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Marlins have won five of their last six games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against NL East opponents.
• The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Pirates’ last 11 home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Marlins’ last 10 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six games between the Marlins and Pirates.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Marlins’ last five games at PNC Park.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last nine home games against NL opponents.
• Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of the Marlins’ last seven games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 14 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (96) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pirates rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (658).
• The Pirates rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (64).
• The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (81).
• The Marlins rank 28th in the league for home runs this season (58).

Marlins vs Pirates Prediction

The Pirates are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Marlins and are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings in Pittsburgh.

In this Marlins vs Pirates Prediction, the Pirates are coming as -165 home favorites. We got ourselves a pitchers duel in this game as Paul Skenes goes up against Max Meyer and both have been excellent with a combined 5.69 ERA. They both have two earned runs or less in seven of their last eight games combined and the Marlins have a top-10 bullpen. Expect runs to come at a premium and take the under 7 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 7