Jun 22, 2025; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Twins outfielder Byron Buxton (25) points to the dugout against the Milwaukee Brewers in the ninth inning at Target Field. Mandatory Credit: Brad Rempel-Imagn Images

Miami Marlins vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 07/01/2025 Picks

Pick details

Minnesota (40-44) vs Miami (37-45)

July 1, 2025 at 06:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami +115 — Over/Under: +7.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and the Miami Marlins meet Tuesday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs. Miami Marlins prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will send out Joe Ryan for the start here and Ryan is 8-3 with a 2.86 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season. This will be Ryan’s first career start against the Marlins. The Miami Marlins will send out Edward Cabrera for the start here and Cabrera is 2-2 with a 3.78 ERA and 69 strikeouts this season. This will be Cabrera’s second career start against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-0 loss at the hands of the Detroit Tigers last time out to sit at 40-44 on the year. After this series, the Twins will head home for a series against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Twins Drop Important Series Vs. Tigers

Byron Buxton has 72 hits along with 10 doubles, a team-high 19 home runs and 51 RBIs with 15 stolen bases and 3 triples while Carlos Correa has 69 hits with 14 doubles and Willi Castro has 56 hits with 12 doubles as well. Harrison Bader’s added 7 home runs and 27 RBIs while Buxton’s contributed a team-high 76 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 78 hits, 15 doubles, 6 home runs and 42 RBIs and Trevor Larnach’s chipped in 74 hits with 12 doubles, 12 home runs and 39 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

The Marlins have lost each of their last six games at LoanDepot Park following a win.
The road team has won each of the Marlins’ last six games.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games following a win.
The road team has covered the run line in each of the Marlins’ last six games.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

Trevor Larnach has recorded a Double in three of the Twins’ last four road games against NL opponents.
Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in each of his last four road appearances with the Twins against NL opponents.
Joe Ryan has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games.
Joe Ryan has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
Ty France has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 11 night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Joe Ryan ranks T5th in the league for Wins (8) this season.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to add on to their 6-4 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks last time out to sit at 37-45 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will take on the Milwaukee Brewers at home.

Marlins Win 7 Straight, Sweep Road Trip

Xavier Edwards has 75 hits including 9 doubles and a team-high 14 stolen bases while Eric Wagaman has 73 hits with 19 doubles. Otto Lopez has 65 hits with 9 doubles and 8 home runs with 40 RBIs. Kyle Stowers has 74 hits with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 13 home runs and 43 RBIs but also has 86 strikeouts so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 12 home runs, 15 doubles and 33 RBIs and Jesus Sanchez has chipped in 28 RBIs as well on the year.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

The Marlins have won each of their last seven games as underdogs.
The Twins have lost each of their last eight night games against National League opponents following a road loss.
The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last seven games.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a road loss.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

Otto Lopez has hit a home run in two of the Marlins’ last three games as underdogs.
Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one Double in three of the Marlins’ last four night games.
Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 10 games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Marlins’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the Twins’ last eight night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Minnesota Twins vs. Miami Marlins Prediction

I’m on the Marlins in this one. I get the case to be made for the Twins here as Joe Ryan has been a quality option for them this season, but the thing is the Twins have not been playing all that well as of late and even if Joe Ryan has a strong start here, the Twins’ bullpen has been shaky at best and while Miami’s hasn’t been great either, they’re rolling right now and I think they get the job done here. Give me Miami.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Miami +115

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