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Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 07/05/2025 Picks
Pick details
Milwaukee (49-39) vs Miami (39-47)
July 5, 2025 at 04:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami +125 / Milwaukee -150 — Over/Under: +8.5
The Milwaukee Brewers are visiting the Miami Marlinson Saturday, July 5th at the loanDepot park in the second game of this series, with the Brewers having the 1-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction. We will examine:
The Miami Marlins recent form and player performance
The Milwaukee Brewers recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Milwaukee Brewers
Recent betting trends in games played between the Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins game
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 39-47 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the NL East. The Marlinshave a 19-26 home record and are 43-42 in over/under. They are coming off 5-6 home defeat by the Brewers, and are 9-2 in their last 11 games. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 games and are playing the Reds and the Orioles next.
The Marlins have a .254 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .391 slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.76 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 81 hits and is the team’s best hitter with a .288 batting average. Kyle Stowers adds team-highs in RBI with 45 and in home runs with 15.
Cal Quantrill (R) will take the mound for the Marlins, and he has a 3-7 record, 5.42 ERA and 1.41 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 49-39 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the NL Central. They have a 22-22 road record and are 36-49 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-5 road victory over the Marlins, which snapped their previous two-game losing streak. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games, and are playing the Dodgers and the Nationals next.
The Brewers have a .246 batting average this season, .322 OBP and .382 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Jackson Churio leads the Brewers with 94 hits, while Christian Yelich leads the team in RBI, with 61, adding a team-high 17 home runs. Sal Frelick is the team’s best hitter with a .292 batting average.
Chad Patrick (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 3-7 record, 3.51 ERA and 1.32 WHIP.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
The Marlins have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents.
The Brewers have lost each of their last five games as favorites following a road win.
The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games.
The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as road favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
The Marlins have won the first inning in each of their last four day games.
The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against NL East opponents.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
The Brewers have won each of their last five day games following a road win.
The Marlins have lost five of their last six games against NL Central opponents.
The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last five day games following a road win.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four day games against NL Central opponents.
The Marlins have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games at LoanDepot Park.
The Brewers have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven road games against opponents that held a losing record.
The Brewers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road day games.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Marlins’ last six games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the Brewers’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven day games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Brewers’ last 13 day games against NL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
The Marlins are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
The Marlins rank 26th in the league for home runs this season (77).
The Brewers rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (101).
The Brewers rank 5th in the league for walks this season (308).
Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction
The Marlins are 6-3 in their last 9 overall meetings against the Brewers, and are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings in Miami. Over is 6-2-2 in their last 10 meetings.  Â
In this Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -150 road favorites. The Brewers are rightfully favored, as they have a better overall record, and they have more road wins than the Marlins have at home. The Brewers have the pitching advantage, as Patrick looks far better than Quantrill and coming off a shutout start. Milwaukee also has a better bullpen, and a better offense, so I like them to take care of business on the road today.