Jun 18, 2025; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves first baseman Matt Olson (28) hits a home run against the New York Mets during the seventh inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images

Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 06/22/2025 Picks

Pick details

Atlanta (35-40) vs Miami (30-45)

June 22, 2025 at 01:40 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Miami +125 — Over/Under: +8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Braves and the Miami Marlins meet Sunday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Atlanta Braves will send out Bryce Elder for the start here and Elder is 2-3 with a 4.45 ERA and 51 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Marlins, Elder is 2-1 with a 3.72 ERA and 24 strikeouts. The Miami Marlins will send out Sandy Alcantara here and Alcantara is 3-8 with a 6.88 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Braves, Alcantara is 1-3 with a 5.02 ERA and 34 strikeouts.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to build on their 7-0 win over the Marlins from Saturday’s matchup to sit at 35-40 on the year. After this series, the Braves will head on the road for a series against the New York Mets.

Braves Win 7 Of Their Last 9

Austin Riley leads the Braves with 84 hits including 12 home runs, 39 RBIs and 13 doubles but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 94 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 64 hits with 6 home runs and 27 RBIs in addition to 6 stolen bases and Matt Olson has 70 hits with 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 49 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 66 hits with 11 home runs and 40 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 65 hits with 11 doubles, 2 triples, 6 home runs and 42 RBIs and 11 stolen bases as well and Nick Allen has 6 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

The Braves have won each of their last four day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Marlins have lost eight of their last 10 games at LoanDepot Park.
The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against NL East opponents.
The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

Marcell Ozuna has recorded a Double in three of the Braves’ last four games against the Marlins.
Matt Olson has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last seven road games against opponents that held a losing record.
Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Braves’ last seven road games against opponents that held a losing record.
Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in eight of the Braves’ last nine games.
Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to rebound from their loss to the Braves on Saturday to drop to 30-45 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a set against the San Francisco Giants.

Marlins Looking To Avoid Another Series Loss

Xavier Edwards has 67 hits including 6 doubles and a team-high 13 stolen bases while Eric Wagaman has 66 hits with 16 doubles. Otto Lopez has 52 hits with 7 doubles and 6 home runs with 25 RBIs and Matt Mervis has 7 home runs and 14 RBIs so far this year. Kyle Stowers has 65 hits with 9 doubles, 3 triples, 10 home runs and 34 RBIs but also has 77 strikeouts while Mervis has 50 K’s as well so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 11 home runs, 11 doubles and 27 RBIs and Jesus Sanchez has chipped in 28 RBIs as well on the year.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

The Braves have lost each of their last six games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
The Marlins have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against the Braves following a loss.
The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Sunday games as favorites against National League opponents.
The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Sunday games against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last 10 appearances against NL East opponents.
Kyle Stowers has recorded a Double in four of the Marlins’ last five home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
Kyle Stowers has scored at least one run in three of the Marlins’ last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his five previous home appearances against the Braves.
Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Sunday appearances with the Marlins as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

Each of the Marlins’ last seven day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Each of the Braves’ last four games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Prediction

I’m on the Marlins here. I’ve made money hand over first by blindly fading Sandy Alcantara at times this year, but Alcantara has started to show signs of turning things around after his rough start to the season. Bryce Elder for me just is the weak link of this Braves rotation, and I think that the Marlins get to him here and get the series win with the upset. Give me the Marlins.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Miami +125

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