Marlins vs Tigers Prediction 4/12/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 12th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 8-7 this season after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 0-2 and 1-6. In their game two loss, Miami allowed the first five runs in the game and never had a chance in the lopsided loss. The Marlins recorded six hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Norby, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Junk allowed five hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Bender allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Miami split four games with the Reds and lost two out of three against the Yankees. 

This season, Miami has a 3.61 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .200 opponent batting average, while they have scored 68 runs with a .252 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with three home runs and 13 RBIs, while Owen Caissie has added two home runs and 12 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Sandy Alcantara, who is 2-0 with a 0.74 ERA and a 0.58 WHIP over 24.1 innings pitched this season. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 6-9 this year after they won game two by a score of 6-1 in their last game. Detroit scored two runs in the first inning and they added three in the third and one in the eighth for the easy win. The Tigers recorded six hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Greene, who went 2-3 with one home run and four RBIs in the game. Mize allowed six hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings for the win, while Anderson picked up the save. Prior to this series, Detroit lost all four against the Twins, but did win two out of three against the Cardinals before that. 

This season, Detroit has a 3.78 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 62 runs with a .233 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with two home runs and eight RBIs, while Riley Greene has added one home run and 10 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 1-2 with a 2.55 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 17.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The home team has won each of the Tigers’ last six games.
• The Marlins have lost five of their last six road games against AL Central opponents.
• The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last five home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road games.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Tigers have lost eight of their last 10 games as favorites following a win.
• The Marlins have won seven of their last eight Sunday games as underdogs.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight Sunday day games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six home games against NL East opponents following a home win.

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Marlins’ last eight games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight Sunday games against AL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last five Sunday games against National League opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Javier Baez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at Comerica Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Colt Keith has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances at Comerica Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Sandy Alcantara has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Marlins as road underdogs against AL opponents.
• Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in 24 of his last 26 appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in day games.
• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of his last 10 appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Marlins vs Tigers Prediction 

Detroit comes into this matchup looking to complete the series sweep and they are a completely different team at home. The Tigers are 4-1 at home this year, while the Marlins are 1-4 on the road. Miami has split their last four games and they have solid offensive numbers this year, despite scoring just one run through two games here. We have two elite pitchers going at it in this one and with Miami not hitting, I like the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 6.5