Marlins vs Brewers Prediction 07/26/2025 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Marlins vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 26th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 49-53 this year after they won game one by a score of 5-1 on Friday afternoon. Miami led 1-0 in the third inning, but they needed four runs in the seventh to reclaim the lead for the victory. The Marlins recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Lopez, who went 3-5 with two RBIs in the win. Miami started Quantrill, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Simpson picked up the win in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Marlins won two out of three against the Padres and two out of three against the Royals. Miami has won seven of their last nine games and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.45 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .249 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 436 runs with a .253 batting average and a .315 on base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with 23 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Agustin Ramirez has added 14 home runs and 45 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Janson Junk, who is 4-2 with a 3.09 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 55.1 innings pitched this year. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 61-42 this season after they lost game one in this series on Friday. Milwaukee tied the game at one in the fourth, but they went scoreless over the last five innings for the loss. The Brewers recorded four hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Chourio, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Milwaukee started Peralta, who allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Ashby picked up the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Brewers won two out of three against the Mariners and all three against the Dodgers. Milwaukee has lost two of their last three games and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 490 runs with a .250 batting average and a .324 on base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 19 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Jackson Chourio has added 17 home runs and 66 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Jose Quintana, who is 7-3 with a 3.49 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 77.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Brewers will beat the Marlins

• The Brewers have won each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
• The Marlins have lost four of their last five night games against the Brewers following a road win.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four night games against National League opponents.

Why the Marlins will beat the Brewers

• The Marlins have won 10 of their last 11 games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Brewers’ last seven games.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Marlins following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the last three games between the Marlins and Brewers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last eight games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Marlins’ last five night games against National League opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Jose Quintana has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his nine previous appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two games as favorites.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Jose Quintana has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games as underdogs against the Brewers.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 road appearances against NL opponents.

Marlins vs Brewers Prediction 

Both of these teams came into this series red hot in recent games, but Miami was able to win game one. The Marlins are 25-24 on the road this year, while the Brewers are 33-18 at home. Milwaukee is locked into a battle with the Cubs in the NL Central and they are starting Quintana, who has allowed 4, 1, 3, and 4 earned runs in his last four outings. The Marlins are going with Junk, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. I don’t know if I trust Quintana on the mound and we saw Junk have a rough outing against KC last time out, so I will back the over here.