Jul 25, 2025; Boston, Massachusetts, USA;  Los Angeles Dodgers right fielder Teoscar Hernandez (37) reacts after hitting a two-run home run against the Boston Red Sox during the eighth inning at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Brian Fluharty-Imagn Images

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 07/26/2025 Picks

Pick details

Los Angeles (61-43) vs Boston (55-50)

July 26, 2025 at 07:15 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Boston -1.5 — Over/Under: +8.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Boston Red Sox meet Saturday in MLB action at Fenway Park. Here’s a Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox Pick.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 61-43 on the year and play the Reds, Rays, and Cardinals next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .255 on the season, have a .329 OBP, and a .444 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers pitching staff has a 4.26 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Shohei Ohtani leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 109 hits and 70 RBI, while Andy Pages and Freddie Freeman have combined for 208 hits and 115 RBI. 

Clayton Kershaw gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 4-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. This will be Kershaw’s first career game against the Boston Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 55-50 on the year and play the Twins, Astros, and Royals next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .251 on the season, have a .322 OBP, and a .426 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 106 hits and 53 RBI while Trevor Story and Ceddanne Rafaela have combined for 190 hits and 108 RBI.

Garrett Crochet gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 11-4 with a 2.19 ERA and 165 strikeouts this season. Crochet is 0-1 with a 0.00 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Red Sox have won each of their last 11 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Dodgers have lost five of their last six night games after playing the previous day.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last five games following a home loss.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 13 games after playing the previous day.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Dodgers have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Red Sox have lost seven of their last eight home games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Fenway Park against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against the Red Sox.
  • The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Alex Bregman has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Dodgers.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Trevor Story has recorded a Double in each of the Red Sox’s last four games at Fenway Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Garrett Crochet ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (11) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Andy Pages has recorded a Double in each of the Dodgers’ last three games against the Red Sox.
  • Clayton Kershaw has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Clayton Kershaw has recorded four or more strikeouts in 14 of his last 15 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL opponents.
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four games against AL opponents.
  • Will Smith ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.325) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Dodgers are showing signs of getting their act together, and Kershaw is looking more and more like Kershaw as he gets more consistent reps. However, the Red Sox are due for a bounce back victory after a slow start to the second half. Also, Crochet has been ridiculous this season with a 2.19 ERA and 1.06 WHIP, and he has a 2.35 ERA and .211 allowed batting average in 57.1 home innings. Crochet has allowed 11 hits and one run in his last 15 innings, and the Red Sox have won eight of his last nine starts. Give me the Red Sox for a big victory on Saturday. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Boston Red Sox

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